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March, 2023 Current Topics		Source

	2023 Asia Power Index - Key Findings Report. The annual Asia Power Index — launched by the Lowy Institute in 2018 — measures resources and influence to rank the relative power of states in Asia. The project maps out the existing distribution of power as it stands today, and tracks shifts in the balance of power over time. The Index ranks 26 countries and territories in terms of their capacity to shape their external environment — its scope reaching as far west as Pakistan, as far north as Russia, and as far into the Pacific as Australia, New Zealand and the United States. The 2023 edition — which covers five years of data up to 2022 — is the most comprehensive assessment of the changing distribution of power in Asia to date...	Lowy
	Abrogating the Visiting Forces Agreement: Its Effects on Philippines’ Security and Stability in Southeast Asia, February 2023. During much of 2022, the defense and security alliance between the United States of America and the Philippines, anchored on and reinforced by the 1951 Mutual Defense Treaty (MDT, teetered on the brink of collapse. Former Philippine President Rodrigo Duterte brought relations to the brink through attempts to scuttle the Visiting Forces Agreement (VFA). This move would only embolden Chinese challenges to Manila’s territorial integrity and its aspirations to dominate Southeast Asia and the South China Sea. While the Duterte administration recited parochial reasons to terminate the VFA, pundits from the security and diplomatic sectors viewed Duterte’s attempts as a pretext to steer the Philippines towards China under his own brand and definition of an independent foreign policy...	EWC
	ASPI’s Critical Technology Tracker - The Global Race for Future Power 2023. Western democracies are losing the global technological competition, including the race for scientific and research breakthroughs, and the ability to retain global talent—crucial ingredients that underpin the development and control of the world’s most important technologies, including those that don’t yet exist. Our research reveals that China has built the foundations to position itself as the world’s leading science and technology superpower, by establishing a sometimes stunning lead in high-impact research across the majority of critical and emerging technology domains. China’s global lead extends to 37 out of 44 technologies that ASPI is now tracking, covering a range of crucial technology fields spanning defence, space, robotics, energy, the environment, biotechnology, artificial intelligence (AI), advanced materials and key quantum technology areas...	ASPI
	Countering China’s Coercive Diplomacy, February 2023. The People’s Republic of China (PRC) is increasingly using a range of economic and non-economic tools to punish, influence and deter foreign governments in its foreign relations. Coercive actions have become a key part of the PRC’s toolkit as it takes a more assertive position in international disputes and seeks to reshape the global order in its favour. This research finds that the PRC’s use of coercive tactics is now sitting at levels well above those seen a decade ago, or even five years ago. The year 2020 marked a peak, and the use of trade restrictions and state-issued threats have become favoured methods. The tactics have been used in disputes over governments’ decisions on human rights, national security and diplomatic relations...	ASPI
	Be’er Sheva Dialogue 2022 - Proceedings and Outcomes, February 2023. The Eighth annual Be’er Sheva Dialogue was held in Canberra on 21 November 2022. The Dialogue is named in honour of the Battle of Beersheba (1917), with the 2022 Dialogue marking the 105th anniversary of the battle. Since its inception in 2015, the Dialogue has brought together defence officials, senior parliamentarians and analysts from both Australia and Israel to discuss areas of shared strategic interests and challenges, as well as the potential for collaboration...	ASPI
	ASEAN’s Evolving Alignment Strategy in the South China Sea: Between Middle and Major Power Dynamics, February 2023. ASEAN is a region of vital strategic importance where the United States’ Indo-Pacific strategy and China’s Belt and Road Initiative (BRI) collide. To avert geopolitical uncertainty and to avoid being pulled into full-fledged conflicts between major powers, the ASEAN states have employed a ‘hedging strategy’ by combining elements of bandwagoning and balancing. However, such a middle-positioning or ambiguous strategy is now challenged as geopolitical tension rises in the South China Sea. The future order of this region will depend on strategic choices and the relative power positions of the ASEAN nations and their agreed modes of conflict and cooperation. This Focus Asia paper focuses on capturing the evolving hedging strategy of the ASEAN states in the South China Sea and its regional implications...	ISDP
	Quad in the Indo-Pacific: Role of Informality in Countering China, February 2023. The Quad, a highly informal intergovernmental organization in the Indo-Pacific, is a high-profile security grouping composed of Australia, India, Japan, and the US. For some observers, the Quad’s informality and lack of clear security commitments means it is little more than a “talk shop.” For others, it an emergent military alliance. This issue brief shows that the Quad’s overriding purpose is a bit of both via its core mission to meet the long-term security challenges posed by China to each Quad member and the quartet collectively. But rather than turning to an interlocking security alliance, the quartet looks for collective security and the protection of the jealously guarded sovereignty via the Quad’s informality. Indeed, informality is a geopolitical necessity for the Quad as it provides a workable format for four diverse members to coordinate security activities whilst maintaining equivocal positions vis-à-vis China. In the process, Australia, India, Japan, and the US have progressively strengthened bilateral, trilateral, and quadrilateral defense and security ties...	ISDP
	How Strategic Tech Cooperation Can Reinvigorate Relations Between the EU and India, January 2023. US-China strategic competition is the predominant challenge of this era and although it has fueled unprecedented tensions, it has also compelled the other regional and global major and middle powers to take on a larger role in shaping global governance architecture. Democratic actors like India, Japan, Australia, France, Germany, the Netherlands, the European Union (EU) and the Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN) have become central partners in minimizing the repercussions of the US-China bipolar contest and spearheading an inclusive order in the Indo-Pacific. Notably, the fast-evolving political landscape not only mirrors the accelerating changes in new technologies but is also driven by this profound digital shift. For example, despite its economic and developmental gains, digitalization has allowed rogue state and non-state actors to exploit digital vulnerabilities inherent in a hyper-connected system...	ISDP
	Trends in Southeast Asia 2023 #4: GVC Reconfiguration: Risks and Opportunities for ASEAN Members. The COVID-19 pandemic, growing geopolitical tensions and trade disputes between the US and China, and the Russia-Ukraine war have further increased the risk of global value chain (GVC) disruptions and forced firms to strengthen resilience in their supply chains and operations. The GVC is the sequence of all functional activities required in the process of value creation involving more than one country (UNCTAD 2013). These activities range from preproduction (e.g., research and development, product design, and branding) to production and postproduction (e.g., marketing, distribution, and retailing). According to the World Bank (2020), about half of global trade involves GVCs, with services, raw materials, parts, and components crossing borders multiple times. However, GVCs are facing risks...	ISEAS
	Trends in Southeast Asia 2023 #3: The Indonesia National Survey Project 2022: Engaging with Developments in the Political, Economic and Social Spheres. It has been more than two decades since the beginning of the Reformasi (Reform Movement) era marked by the fall of President Suharto. Experts are generally divided into two camps that hold sharply different views about Indonesia’s achievements during that period. The first scholarly camp holds a gloomier view, observing that the old corrupt political oligarchic forces have persisted in sabotaging the country’s democratic structural reforms, taking the country back to the practices of the New Order era when corruption, collusion and nepotism were the political and business order of the day. According to this group, there is hardly any significant difference between the New Order and Reform eras. Meanwhile, the other scholarly camp provides a rosier picture of the democratization process in Indonesia. Government officials have also repeatedly made claims that Indonesia has indeed taken big strides forward politically and economically since the end of the New Order...	ISEAS
	Latest APEC publications: APEC Workshop on Opportunities and Challenges for GVCs during COVID-19 Pandemic and Post-Pandemic Economic Recovery, January 2023 Study on Best Practices in Using ODR, January 2023 Competition Policy: A Driver for Economic Recovery in the APEC Region, January 2023 Policy Dialogue Report Competition Policy and Digital Transformation, December 2022	APEC
	Latest ADBI Working Paper Series: Green Central Banking and Regulation to Foster Sustainable Finance, February 2023 Bond Market Spillover Networks during the Global Pandemic: What We Learned from ASEAN-4 Markets, February 2023 Policy Responses to Cope with COVID-19 in Viet Nam: An Empirical Stock-Flow-Consistent Approach, February 2023 Impact of Climate Change on Sovereign Risk in Asia, February 2023 Cost–Benefit Analysis of Spillover Tax Revenues of High-Speed Rail in Taipei,China, February 2023 Development of Capitals and Capabilities of Smallholder Farmers for Promoting Inclusive Intensification in Agriculture: Experiences from Northern West Bengal, India, February 2023 Benchmarking Adoption of E-commerce across the G20 Members, February 2023	ADB
	Latest ADB Working Paper Series: The Development of Local Currency Bond Markets and Uncovered Interest Rate Parity, February 2023	ADB
	Latest ADB Publications: Metals and Plastic Recycling in Maldives, February 2023 Evidence-Based Public–Private Collaboration in the Health Sector: The Potential for Collaborative Governance to Contribute to Economic Recovery from COVID-19 in Asia, February 2023 Gender Bonds: From Incidental to Center Stage, February 2023 Scaling Up Local Adaptation Measures through Climate-Responsive Decentralization Processes, February 2023 Observations and Suggestions-Youth Employment and the Pandemic Recovery in the People’s Republic of China, February 2023 Fed Tightening and Capital Flow Reversals in Emerging Markets: What Do We Know? February 2023 Appraising New Damage Assessment Techniques in Disaster-Prone Fiji, February 2023 How ADB is Strengthening Community Building through Online Communities, February 2023 Rethinking Infrastructure Financing for Southeast Asia in the Post-Pandemic Era, February 2023 Asian Economic Integration Report 2023: Trade, Investments, and Climate Change in Asia and the Pacific, February 2023 Uniquely Urban: Case Studies in Innovative Urban Development, February 2023 Imperatives for Improvement of Food Safety in Fruit and Vegetable Value Chains in Viet Nam, February 2023 Achieving a Sustainable and Efficient Energy Transition in Indonesia: A Power Sector Restructuring Road Map, February 2023 ASEAN+3 Bond Market Forum Brief No. 1—The Professional Bond Market: A Practical Introduction, January 2023 ASEAN+3 Bond Market Forum Brief No. 2—Professional Investor Concepts and Categories, January 2023	ADB


February, 2023

	Economic Sanctions During Humanitarian Emergencies: The Case of North Korea, January 2023. North Korea is experiencing yet another cycle of humanitarian distress. While sanctions are not the primary cause, they are a contributing factor. This essay examines the channels through which sanctions affect the North Korean economy and reaches four conclusions: First, sanctions have contributed to a deterioration of economic performance. Second, the UNSC’s 1718 Sanctions Committee should consider a thorough review to identify goods that would warrant blanket humanitarian financial sanctions have raised the risk premium on all financial transactions with North Korea; the sanctioning authorities need to do a better job of clarifying transactions permissible under humanitarian exemptions. Finally, while the global community should reassess its policies, the government of North Korea bears responsibility as well. The benefits of sanctions relief will be diminished if North Korea refuses to engage constructively with the international community on a broader range of issues running from basic humanitarian relief to economic reform...	EWC
	Asia's Push for Monetary Alternatives, December 2022. For the last quarter century, Asia has been seeking greater autonomy within the existing international monetary system. While the region has had the resources to go its own way, intraregional rivalries and a reluctance to damage ties to the US and the International Monetary Fund have put a damper on regional initiatives. Now the ascendency of China offers a path toward greater regional autonomy in monetary affairs. Asia, led by China, has been playing a two-track strategy pushing for greater influence within the existing global institutions, while developing its own parallel institutions such as the Chiang Mai Initiative Multilateralization, the Belt and Road Initiative, and the Asian Infrastructure Investment Bank. Use of the Chinese renminbi will likely grow as a trade invoicing currency but expanded use of the renminbi as a reserve currency is more uncertain...	EWC
	Understanding the Rohingya Crisis, January 2023. In consideration of their stateless status in Myanmar, prolonged refugeehood in Bangladesh, and their ongoing vulnerable position of the Rohingya, they are known as the world’s most persecuted minority. Despite living in Arakan/Rakhine state for centuries, Myanmar's Citizenship Law in 1982 rendered the Rohingya stateless as it conferred citizenship to 135 ethnic groups excluding the Rohingya. In 1978, Burmese security forces started Operation Nagamin, which produced the first Rohingya influx to Bangladesh (about 250,000). The second influx occurred in 1991-92 (about 200,000). Then, some 360,000 Rohingyas were repatriated to Bangladesh under an agreement brokered by the United Nations High Commissioner for Refugees (UNHCR)...	EWC
	Strengthening Japan-ROK Relations: The Prime Time to Rebuild Relations Through Young Parliamentary Diplomacy, November 2022. South Korean President Yoon Seok-yeol began his remarkable administration by emphasizing the values of freedom and democracy, and the triangular Japan-U.S.-ROK relationship. Contrasting the previous administration, which prioritized reconciliation with North Korea, President Yoon embraced positive messages on restoring Japan-ROK relations even before taking office. On August 15, the National Liberation Day of Korea, President Yoon described Japan as a “neighbor that joins forces against the challenges that threaten freedom.” ...	EWC
	The AI Race: Collaboration to Counter Chinese Aggression, January 2023. Artificial Intelligence (AI) has the potential to replace humans, as it can help overcome language barriers, improve governance, deliver better healthcare, and create art. However, AI also has the potential to be highly disruptive, causing ripples that can alter the existing democratic world order. Using AI for facial recognition and leading crackdowns on dissenting citizens is just one of its many negative uses. In the international arena, particularly during conflicts, AI can collect voice samples from militarily sensitive regions, and the data collected could be used for automated extra-territorial mass surveillance. While the U.S. and China are the leaders in AI so far, other states have also started realizing its importance. In this context, it is essential to underline India’s AI experience. Democracies need to collaborate to ensure the current democratic world order does not get thwarted by revisionist powers using the malicious potency of AI...	ISDP
	China’s Pandemic Shift: The End of Dynamic zero-COVID, January 2023. Beginning with the anti-lockdown protests triggered by a fire in Xinjiang on November 24, this issue brief examines Beijing’s abrupt abandonment of zero-COVID mere days later and its underlying motivations. The government’s new pandemic discourse vis-á-vis the public downplays the severity of the virus and stresses individual over collective responsibility in now living alongside it. This messaging seeks to instill trust in the new approach, prepare the public for temporary difficulties, dilute responsibility, and reduce impending strain on public health resources while also characterizing the new approach as a calculated next step in fighting the pandemic. Yet, China’s new pandemic strategy is not without key challenges and significant risks in the year ahead—both for public health and Xi Jinping’s already imperiled pandemic leadership legacy...	ISDP
	Trends in Southeast Asia 2023 #2: Can Malaysia Eliminate Forced Labour by 2030? The spotlight has fallen on the persistent problem of forced labour in Malaysia lately, due to both infringements and policy responses. Forced labour encompasses harsh exploitation and abuse, but also less overt forms of coercion such as retention of passports, squalid living quarters and debt bondage, some of which have seemingly become endemic to the country. The intertwined phenomena of labour outsourcing and undocumented status have exacerbated worker vulnerability to forced labour conditions. Recent high-profile cases, especially involving import bans on rubber glove manufacturers and palm oil producers, and the country’s downgrade in the US Department of State’s Trafficking in Persons (TIP) report from three years in a row on Tier 2 Watch List to Tier 3 in 2021 and 2022 (US Department of 2021a; US Department of State 2022)...	ISEAS
	Trends in Southeast Asia 2023 #1: The EU’s Carbon Border Adjustment Mechanism (CBAM): Implications for ASEAN-EU Relations. According to international frameworks, climate solutions need to be scaled up in critical international trade issues to fulfil the United Nations Sustainable Development Goals’ (UNSDG) goal 13, the 2015 Paris Agreement, and the decisions taken in the 2021 United Nations Climate Change Conference (COP 26) and the subsequent conference in 2022 (COP 27). The European Union (EU) and the Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN) are the two most successful regional blocs, and trade relations between the two are currently on an upswing trajectory. However, the EU’s current plan to impose a Carbon Border Adjustment Mechanism (CBAM) as part of the EU Green Deal will likely cause disputes with global partners, including ASEAN. This paper analyses the EU CBAM and its technical implementation and, most importantly, the possible implications of the EU CBAM on ASEAN-EU strategic relations...	ISEAS
	Trends in Southeast Asia 2022 #19: The Indonesian Military Enjoys Strong Public Trust and Support: Reasons and Implications. Scholars have long argued for the importance of public trust in institutions in the context of democratic consolidation. Gamson (1968, p. 42) argues that trust functions as the “creator of collective power” which allows state institutions to make decisions without using a violent approach or having to continuously get the specific approval of citizens for every decision. In the short term, public trust in governments could be the outcome of a long socialization process. In the longer term, however, as Mishler and Rose (1997) argue, trust must be earned; it is a public evaluation of institutions based on performance (Hirschman 1970). The military is no exception to this rule. In order for it to carry out its duties effectively, the military must gain high levels of public trust and confidence. Opinion polls have consistently shown that the Indonesian National Army (Tentara Nasional Indonesia, TNI) is the most trusted public or state institution in Indonesia. This situation is not unique to Indonesia...	ISEAS
	NUS Research on Ageing-Related Policies (2022), December 2022. This is a case study of a fast-ageing Asian society – Singapore – that examines the determinants of public attitudes towards social support and the attending fiscal policies that will enable its people to make this demographic transition well. In a decade, the old-age support ratio that indicates how many working age people there will be to support one person 65 years and older among Singapore citizens fell from 5.9 in 2012 to 3.3 this year, 2022. According to projections in the document Population in Brief 2022 that was compiled by five government agencies, this old-age support ratio for citizens is projected to fall further — to an uncomfortable 2.4 by the year 2030. A fast-ageing population is not a new policy challenge to the Singapore government. However, the felt impact of longevity is now emerging with force among the larger and current cohorts of those entering their 60s in the areas of work, care, recreation, health and finances...	IPS
	Online Youth Civic Engagement in Singapore, December 2022. Online civic engagement has gained a new momentum during the COVID-19 pandemic. With the limitations imposed on physical outreach events, many youths strategically tapped the affordances of popular social media platforms like Instagram, Twitter and TikTok to discuss civic issues and mobilise like-minded youths to support their causes. In recent years, there has been increasing research on understanding the nature of youth advocacy and activism in the online space in Singapore. However, they have primarily examined specific online movements and the use of older social media platforms like Facebook. Moreover, they have mostly focused on the perspectives and experiences of youth content creators supporting these movements but not that of general social media users who encountered such content either incidentally or intentionally...	IPS
	Current Realities, Social Protection And Future Needs of Platform Food Delivery Workers in Singapore, November 2022. The Institute of Policy Studies published a detailed report in February 2022 featuring results from a survey of private hire car drivers and ethnographic research. This paper focuses exclusively on food delivery riders and reflects the continuation of the institute’s efforts to shed light on platform work and workers. This report is based primarily on a survey of 1002 food delivery platform riders. This is complemented by data generated from an ongoing ethnographic work and with it, 48 in-depth interviews with riders. While respondents were generally satisfied with their work as food delivery riders, the study shows many areas where improvements in social protection are needed to safeguard workers welfare especially in the longer-term horizon...	IPS
	MAS Survey of Professional Forecasters, December 2022. The Dec 2022 Survey was sent out on 23 Nov 2022 to a total of 25 economists and analysts who closely monitor the Singapore economy. This report reflects the views received from 21 respondents (a response rate of 84.0%) and does not represent MAS’ views or forecasts. The Singapore economy expanded by 4.1% year-on year in Q3 2022. This exceeded the respondents’ median forecast of 3.9% in the previous survey. In the current survey, respondents expect the economy to grow by 2.1% in Q4 2022. The respondents expect GDP to expand by 3.6% in 2022, up slightly from 3.5% in the previous survey...	MAS
	Project Orchid Whitepaper, October 2022. Project Orchid is a multi-year, multi-phase exploratory project examining the various design and technical aspects pertinent to a retail CBDC system for Singapore, from its functionalities to its interaction with existing payment infrastructures. Though MAS has assessed that there is no urgent need for a retail CBDC in Singapore at this point in time, MAS seeks to facilitate ongoing learning and advance the financial infrastructure in Singapore...	MAS
	National Strategy for Countering the Financing of Terrorism (CFT), October 2022. Taking into account the findings of the Terrorism Financing National Risk Assessment (TF NRA) 2020, Singapore formulated our National Strategy for Countering the Financing of Terrorism (CFT). The National CFT Strategy forms the blueprint that outlines Singapore’s national approach to address our TF risks and serves as the roadmap to guide the development of future action plans to effectively prevent, detect, investigate, and enforce against TF. It also enhances the coordination of actions across law enforcement agencies, policy makers, regulators and supervisors, and as appropriate, the private sector, in Singapore...	MAS
	Latest ADB Publications: Asia’s Progress Toward Greater Sustainable Financial Market Efficiency and Integrity, January 2023 Planning and Capacity Building for High-Speed Rail Development in India: Five Key Lessons, January 2023 Conflict Resolution: The Way Forward, January 2023 Countering Trade-Based Money Laundering, January 2023 Disaster Displacement: Indonesia Country Briefing, January 2023 Understanding Social Perceptions of Postsecondary Education and Training in Bhutan, January 2023 Financial Digitalization and Its Implications for ASEAN+3 Regional Financial Stability, January 2023	ADB
	Latest ADB Working Paper Series: Nowcasting from Space: Impact of Tropical Cyclones on Fiji’s Agriculture, January 2023	ADB
	Latest ADBI Working Paper Series: To Borrow or Not to Borrow: Empirical Evidence from the Public Debt Sustainability of Pakistan, January 2023 Technology, Innovation, and Firm Competitiveness: Firm Level Analysis in Cambodia, January 2023 Creative India: Tapping the Full Potential, December 2022 Market Access and Firm Performance: Evidence Based on GIS Analysis of Road Network and Manufacturing-Plant-Level Data from India. December 2022	ADB
	Latest APEC publications: Strategies and Initiatives on Digital Financial Inclusion: Lessons from Experiences of APEC Economies, December 2022 Building a Culture of Security and Countering the Insider Risk: Project Summary, December 2022 Building a Culture of Security and Countering the Insider Risk: Best Practices Guidelines, December 2022 APEC Policy Brief on EAASR and ASCR: Services Competitiveness and Structural Reform, December 2022	APEC
	Journal of Global Buddhism, Volume 23, No. 1 & 2, 2022 and Volume 22, No 1 & 2, 2021.	JGB


January, 2023

	High Frequency Macroeconomic Forecasts Current Quarter Model: 2023Q1, January 2023. Hong Kong’s economy underwent a contraction of 3.1% in 2022, which is in stark contrast to the 6.3% robust growth in 2021. Underpinned by loosening of social distancing measures and lifting of travel restrictions, Hong Kong’s real GDP is estimated to have a lesser drop of 2.6% in 22Q4, compared to the 4.5% drop in 22Q3. The job market is expected to improve further due to the reopening of the Mainland China border with the unemployment rate dropping from 3.7% in 22Q4 to 3.5 in 23Q1. Interest rates hikes brought by monetary contraction to fight surging inflation in various developed economies constrained Hong Kong’s economic growth in the first half of 2023. Hong Kong’s GDP is expected to grow by 1.0% in 23Q1. The economic outlook in 2023 remains optimistic and a stable economic recovery is expected. Overall, Hong Kong’s real GDP is forecast to grow by 2.5% for the year of 2023...	HKU
	Mixed Report Card: China’s Influence at the United Nations, December 2022. China is of growing importance to the United Nations. Beijing aims to exert influence at the world body to legitimise and disseminate its foreign policy values and interests. This report contextualises China’s growing presence at the United Nations by examining publicly available data on four metrics that gauge Beijing’s success in steering the global governance agenda. Those metrics are: funding for UN departments, programs, and initiatives; staffing of executive-level personnel positions; voting in the UN General Assembly and UN Security Council; and the use of PRC-specific discourse and language in UN-generated documentation...	Lowy
	Sharper Choices: How Australia Can Make Better National Security Decisions, December 2022. As Australia’s national security environment has grown more complex and competitive, the country’s governments have gradually articulated their strategic response, primarily in the 2016 Defence White Paper, the 2017 Foreign Policy White Paper, and the 2020 Defence Strategic Update. In these documents, and in major speeches, Australian governments have adopted four broad strategic concepts: the embattled rules-based order, the return of great power competition, the expansion of grey zone competition, and the increased likelihood of major power war. There is no master theory that can entirely explain Australia’s situation and guide its decision-makers. A national security strategy is necessary, but its utility will be limited by the increasingly unpredictable course of geopolitics...	Lowy
	State-Sponsored Economic Cyber-Espionage for Commercial Purposes: Tackling an Invisible but Persistent Risk to Prosperity, December 2022. As part of a multi-year capacity building project supporting governments in the Indo-Pacific with defending their economic against the risk of cyber-enabled theft of intellectual property, ASPI analysed public records to determine the effects, the actual scale, severity and spread of current incidents of cyberespionage affecting and targeting commercial entities. In 2015, the leaders agreed that ‘no country should conduct or support ICT-enabled theft of intellectual property, including trade secrets or other confidential business information, with the intent of providing competitive advantages to companies or commercial sectors.’...	ASPI
	‘Impactful Projection’: Long-Range Strike Options for Australia, December 2022. The Australian Government has stated that the ADF requires greater long-range strike capability. This was first stated by the previous government in its 2020 Defence Strategic Update (DSU), which emphasised the need for ‘self-reliant deterrent effects’. The present government has endorsed that assessment: Deputy Prime Minister and Defence Minister Richard Marles has stated that ‘the ADF must augment its self-reliance to deploy and deliver combat power through impactful materiel and enhanced strike capability—including over longer distances.’ He’s coined the term ‘impactful projection’ to describe the intended effect of this capability, which is to place ‘a very large question mark in the adversary’s mind.’...	ASPI
	The Indian Farmer Makes Her Voice Heard, December 2022. In August 2020, thousands of farmers, mostly from Punjab, Haryana, and western Uttar Pradesh, gathered on the outskirts of India’s national capital, New Delhi, to protest the passage of three controversial “farm laws” perceived by these farmers as threats to their livelihoods and well-being. Though the farm laws would affect only a small percentage of India’s farmers, over the next 16 months the protests attracted participation from across the country, cutting across class, caste, gender, and religious identities. While the proximate driver seemed to be the farmers’ fear of losing legal protections against a collapse in the market price of their produce, broader economic, ecological, and social factors helped trigger the movement. The protestors employed several strategies that made their movement successful enough in pushing back against a hugely popular government to bring about a repeal of the laws the farmers objected to.	EWC
	Financial Stability Review, November 2022. Risks to the global financial stability outlook have intensified, as economies contend with tighter financial conditions, higher inflation and slowing growth. Heightened geopolitical tensions and the attendant impact on supply chain disruptions, as well as economic and financial fragmentation, add further downside risks to the conjuncture. The most immediate risk is a potential dysfunction in core international funding markets and cascading liquidity strains on non-bank financial institutions that could quickly spill over to banks and corporates. Tighter financial conditions and highly volatile markets could give rise to liquidity imbalances that central banks and fiscal authorities need to adequately address to avoid precipitating a disorderly liquidation of assets...	MAS
	Trends in Southeast Asia 2022 #18: "STANNING” NAJIB: Fanning a Personality Cult in Malaysian Politics. On 24 August 2022, the day after Malaysia’s former Prime Minister Najib Abdul Razak failed in his final appeal to the Federal Court to overturn his graft conviction, a group of 200 Najib loyalists from Pertubuhan Jalinan Perpaduan Negara Malaysia launched a petition calling for a royal pardon for Najib (Leong 2022). That petition was also uploaded to the website change.org. Within a brief span of time, a counter-petition by Bersih was launched with a list of reasons as to why such an extrajudicial action should not be countenanced by the ruling King (Gabungan Pilihanraya Bersih dan Adil Bersih 2022). As of this writing, the anti-pardon petition garnered 126,363 supporters (Gabungan Pilihanraya Bersih dan Adil Bersih 2022), significantly outnumbering the pro-Najib petition which garnered 11,259 supporters (Ibrahim Ismail 2022). Are these numbers representative of...	ISEAS
	Real Exchange Rate and Firm Productivity: The Case of Vietnamese Manufacturing, December 2022. This study investigates the relationship between the real exchange rate and firm productivity. Using the difference-in-differences methodology, a persistent real appreciation in VND has a positive effect on firm productivity in the Vietnamese manufacturing sector. One of the mechanisms that could explain this effect is that real appreciation boosts firm productivity through R&D. Small and medium-sized firms benefit more from real appreciation than large firms.	ISEAS
	Strategic Policies for Digital Economic Transformation: The Case of Malaysia, November 2022. Malaysia’s first attempt at digital economic transformation began in the mid-1990s and lasted for some 15 years. The Multimedia Super Corridor has some initial success but underachieved in some areas. The second phase of strategic policies took place in the period 2016-2021 with the launch of four successive policies and plans dealing with e-commerce, 4IR manufacturing and digital economy. The legal and regulatory landscape for the digital economy has also evolved. Significant challenges lie ahead given the prevailing digital divide and unevenness in ICT adoption across industries.	ISEAS
	Finland-Taiwan Relations: An Overview and Changes after COVID-19 Pandemic, December 2022. Despite the lack of formal diplomatic relations between Finland and Taiwan, the two sides have maintained a practical relationship through trade, tourism, and educational and cultural exchanges. The COVID-19 pandemic has created some favorable ground for certain breakthroughs, be it in terms of the Finnish government’s action plan to support Taiwan’s meaningful international participation, Finnish reports that offer more diverse views on Taiwan’s society beyond international politics, or a Finnish parliamentarian’s help in implementing Taiwan’s mask diplomacy in the Finnish context. In general, the Foreign Ministry in Finland has been vigilant in ensuring that the One China Policy does not become unnecessarily restrictive...	ISDP
	Japan Leads the Way in Global Health Diplomacy: The Case of Neglected Tropical Diseases (NTDs), December 2022. This issue brief aims to investigate Japan’s policy toward “neglected tropical diseases” (NTDs) in light of Japan’s global health diplomacy. It confirms the significance of the so-called ‘Hashimoto Initiative’ as the origin of Japan’s global health diplomacy toward NTDs. This issue brief looks at the three cases of NTDs in Japan, i.e. dengue fever, Hansen’s disease, and lymphatic filariasis, and how Japan succeeded in controlling and eradicating the diseases domestically. It then examines the significance of the establishment of the Global Health Innovative Technology Fund (GHIT Fund) in relation to Japan’s global health diplomacy. Finally, it explores the future scenario of Japan’s global health diplomacy to control and eradicate NTDs at the G7 Hiroshima Summit to be hosted by the Kishida administration in May 2023.	ISDP
	Asian Development Outlook (ADO) 2022 Supplement: Global Gloom Dims Asian Prospects. Global and regional developments since September have been roughly in line with pessimistic expectations laid out that month in the Asian Development Outlook 2022 Update. The world economy chugged along in the third quarter (Q3) of this year but is now set to slow markedly, weighed down by weakening in the United States, euro area, and People’s Republic of China (PRC). Persistently elevated inflation in the US led the Federal Reserve to raise its policy rate in November by 75 basis points, the fourth consecutive hike of that magnitude. Despite a resilient labor market, investment prospects and consumer confidence worsened, suggesting that the Q3 rebound to seasonally adjusted annualized growth of 2.6% will be short-lived...	ADB
	Latest ADB Publications: Pacific Economic Monitor – December 2022: The Future of Social Protection in the Pacific Developing Airport Systems in Asian Cities: Spatial Characteristics, Economic Effects, and Policy Implications, December 2022 Battling Climate Change and Transforming Agri-Food Systems: Asia–Pacific Rural Development and Food Security Forum 2022 Highlights and Takeaways Social Protection Indicator for Pacific: Tracking Developments in Social Protection, December 2022 Data Management Policies and Strategies in Government, December 2022 The Social Protection Indicator for Asia: Tracking Developments in Social Protection, December 2022 Liberalizing Services Trade in the Regional Comprehensive Economic Partnership: Status and Ways Forward, December 2022 Last Mile Connectivity: Addressing the Affordability Frontier, December 2022 The Impact of COVID-19 Mobility Restrictions on Trade Facilitation at Borders in the Central Asia Regional Economic Cooperation Region, December 2022 A Comparative Analysis of Tax Administration in Asia and the Pacific: Sixth Edition, Published 2022 Critical Issues for Fiscal Reform in the People’s Republic of China Part 1: Revenue and Expenditure Management, December 2022 Driving Inclusive Digitalization in Trade and Trade Finance, December 2022 The Green, Social, Sustainable and Other Labeled (GSS+) Bonds Initiative for Southeast Asia, December 2022 The Financial and Institutional Mechanism of the Sanitation and Wastewater Management System: Learning from the Japanese Experience, December 2022 The Long-Term Growth Prospects of the People’s Republic of China, December 2022 Developing a Sustainable Agricultural Insurance System in the People’s Republic of China, December 2022 Unlocking the Economic and Social Value of Indonesia’s State-Owned Enterprises, December 2022	ADB
	Latest ADB Working Paper Series: Application of Machine Learning Algorithms on Satellite Imagery for Road Quality Monitoring: An Alternative Approach to Road Quality Surveys, December 2022 A Gender-Sensitive Earthquake Recovery Assessment Using Administrative and Satellite Data: The Case of Indonesia’s 2016 Aceh Earthquake, December 2022	ADB
	Latest ADBI Working Paper Series: Rural Development in Bangladesh Over Four Decades: Findings from Mahabub Hossain Panel Data and the Way Forward, December 2022 Healthy Urban Rivers as a Panacea to Pandemic-Related Stress: How to Manage Urban Rivers, December 2022 ICT, Online Search Behavior, and Remittances: Evidence from the Kyrgyz Republic, December 2022 An Overview of Climate Change, the Environment, and Innovative Finance in Emerging and Developing Economies, December 2022 Gender, Entrepreneurship and Coping with the COVID-19 Pandemic: The Case of GoFood Merchants in Indonesia, December 2022	ADB
	Latest APEC publications: Trade Networks amid Disruption: Promoting Resilience through Digital Trade Facilitation, December 2022 Transitioning to a Sustainable Economy while Ensuring Inclusion, December 2022	APEC
	Hmong Studies Journal, Vol. 24, 2022	HSJ


December, 2022

	After Hegemony: Japan’s Role and Dilemma in Maintaining the Rules-Based Order, November 2022. The phrase “rules-based order” has recently become a recurring theme in the Japan-US alliance . This is based on the recognition that the liberal international order (LIO)—which the United States built and maintained, and that Japan has significantly benefited from—is now being challenged. While the war in Ukraine has heightened the sense of crisis over global power dynamics, China has been considered the main threat to the LIO...	EWC
	Crumbling Cornerstone? Australia’s Education Ties With Southeast Asia, November 2022. Successive Australian governments have billed education as the cornerstone of its people-to-people connections and influence in Southeast Asia. Yet the era of the Colombo Plan, in which Australia educated the region’s top leaders, is over. Changing economic relativities, and the success of both established and new competitors such as China and Japan, mean Australia’s access and influence through education to the region’s future leaders will decline. Moreover, a narrow focus on Southeast Asia as a market for generating international student revenue may lead to Australia missing opportunities to help build regional human capacity and advance its bilateral relationships...	Lowy
	‘With a Little Help From My Friends’: Capitalising on Opportunity at AUSMIN 2022, Novermber 2022. The collection of essays covers topics and challenges that the US and Australia must tackle together: defence capability, foreign affairs, climate change, foreign interference, rare earths, cyber, technology, the Pacific, space, integrated deterrence and coercive diplomacy. In each instance, there are opportunities for concrete, practical policy steps to ensure cohesion and stability.”...	ASPI
	North of 26° South and the Security of Australia: Views From the Strategist, Volume 6, November 2022. This issue, like previous volumes, includes a wide range of articles sourced from a diverse pool of expert contributors writing on topics as varied as maritime law enforcement, equatorial space launch, renewable energy infrastructure, rare earths and critical minerals, agriculture, Industry 4.0, advanced manufacturing, fuel and water security, and defence force posturing. It also features a foreword by the Honourable Madeleine King MP, Minister for Northern Australia. Minister King writes, “Northern Australia promises boundless opportunity and potential. It is the doorway to our region and key to our future prosperity.”...	ASPI
	Counterterrorism Yearbook 2022. It’s been over two decades since the 9/11 attacks when two planes hit the World Trade Center, one hit the Pentagon and a fourth crashed in Pennsylvania. Close to 3,000 people died and many others were injured, and even more people were traumatised by the experience and the loss of loved ones. Today’s release of the Counterterrorism (CT) yearbook 2022 coincides with the anniversary of the November 2008 Mumbai terrorist attacks and the deaths of 174 people. These and other acts of terror have left an indelible mark and shaped the years that followed...	ASPI
	The Future of Digital Identity in Australia, Published 2022. Digital identity was a key part of the Australian Government’s Digital Economy Strategy: a further $161 million was committed in the 2021 mid-year budget update, bringing total investment since 2015 to more than $600 million. Over that period, the government has developed the Trusted Digital Identity Framework, established the Digital Identity System and, in late 2021, published draft legislation to govern and regulate the system. Although there’s been little apparent progress in the past 10 months, if the potential microeconomic benefits (estimated at $11 billion in the previous government’s Digital Economy Strategy) aren’t sufficient incentive, the September 2022 data breach at Optus, and the subsequent run of data breaches on companies in October should supply new impetus...	ASPI
	State-Sponsored Economic Cyberespionage and the Risk to Nations’ Prosperity: Briefing Note to G20 Leaders’ Summit, November 2022. In 2015, the leaders agreed that ‘no country should conduct or support ICT-enabled theft of intellectual property, including trade secrets or other confidential business information, with the intent of providing competitive advantages to companies or commercial sectors.’ In this Briefing Note, authors Dr Gatra Priyandita, Bart Hogeveen and Dr Ben Stevens conclude that the threat of state-sponsored economic cyberespionage is more significant than ever, with countries industrialising their cyberespionage efforts to target commercial firms and universities at a grander scale; and more of these targeted industries and universities are based in emerging economies...	ASPI
	Trends in Southeast Asia 2022 #17: Explaining PAS’s Dominance in Kelantan. The 2018 general elections saw an unprecedented change in Malaysian politics when the then opposition Coalition of Hope (Pakatan Harapan, PH) took control of the federal government and disrupted the six-decade continuous rule of the National Front (Barisan Nasional, BN) coalition. The so-called political tsunami swept across peninsular Malaysia but stopped short of the east coast states of Kelantan and Terengganu. The Pan-Malaysia Islamic Party (Parti Islam Se-Malaysia, PAS), which contested as a third force, managed to strengthen its hold over Kelantan and wrest Terengganu away from the United Malays National Organisation (UMNO). This article explains why PAS has been dominant in Kelantan, not just stemming the Peninsula-wide wave of change in 2018, but also durably resisting the rule of the UMNO-led BN federal government for decades as an opposition-controlled state...	ISEAS
	One Belt, One Road: Changing Asian Geo-Politics and India, November 2022. The ‘One Belt One Road’ (OBOR) has remarkably transformed discourse on geopolitics within the Asian context. As an initiative, the OBOR has embedded within itself a peculiar dynamic that propels China as the primary determinant of geopolitical cross-currents in Asia. Evolving into being termed ‘Belt and Road Initiative’ (BRI), this paper adheres to OBOR as primary reference, continuous in its metaphorical and temporal usage. Having won accolades and criticisms, Beijing is determined to construct a new ‘frame’ and ‘template’ for Asia, bypassing existing ‘structures’ and institutions. As scholars, the questions that arise from the OBOR are many: How is the OBOR different from existing arrangements? Why is Beijing highlighting OBOR and is it any different from earlier half-hearted attempts at knitting the region in a seamless manner...	ISDP
	The Dangers of a Stagnant China: The Necessity of Awkward Coexistence, November 2022. In the build-up to the 20th Party Congress, a series of essays emerged focusing on Xi Jinping cementing a third term as General Secretary of the Communist Party of China and his future plans for China. These essays dwelled on the question of whether China has peaked, or will it continue to rise and what each scenario would mean for relations between China and the world. This paper aims to migrate away from this question and focus on the consequences of China failing and what that means for the world...	ISDP
	China’s Rise in the Indo-Pacific: A Quad Countries’ Perspective, November 2022. China’s rise as an economic, technological, and military superpower in the last two decades is one of the most prominent factors that led to the emergence of the Quad grouping consisting of the United States, Japan, Australia, and India as a ‘balance of power’ mechanism in the Indo-Pacific region. The four-nation grouping has evolved over time, particularly in the last two to five years, reaching the summit-level in September 2021 and both broadening and diversifying its areas of cooperation...	ISDP
	Latest ADB Publications: Circular Agriculture for Sustainable and Low-Carbon Development in the People’s Republic of China, November 2022 Asia Small and Medium-Sized Enterprise Monitor 2022: Volume I—Country and Regional Reviews, November 2022 Asia Small and Medium-Sized Enterprise Monitor 2022: Volume II—The Russian Invasion of Ukraine and Its Impact on Small Firms in Central and West Asia, November 2022 Digital Financial Inclusion and Literacy from a G20 Perspective, November 2022 Unlocking the Potential of Digital Services Trade in Asia and the Pacific, November 2022 Asia Bond Monitor, November 2022 Developing the Sustainable Bond Market in ASEAN+3: Challenges and Opportunities, November 2022 Survey on Green Bonds and Sustainable Finance in ASEAN: Insights on the Perspectives of Institutional Investors and Underwriters, November 2022 Strengthening Oxygen Systems in Asia and the Pacific: Guidance Note, November 2022 Transformative Solutions and Green Finance in the People’s Republic of China and Mongolia, November 2022 Gender-Responsive Procurement in Asia and the Pacific: An Opportunity for an Equitable Economic Future, Published 2022 Decentralization, Local Governance, and Localizing the Sustainable Development Goals in Asia and the Pacific, Published 2023 Special Economic Zones for Shared Prosperity: Brunei Darussalam–Indonesia–Malaysia–Philippines East ASEAN Growth Area, November 2022 Green Bond Market Survey for Malaysia: Insights on the Perspectives of Institutional Investors and Underwriters, November 2022 Carbon Pricing for Energy Transition and Decarbonization, November 2022 Building Resilience of the Urban Poor: Recommendations for Systemic Change, November 2022 Sponge Cities: Integrating Green and Gray Infrastructure to Build Climate Change Resilience in the People’s Republic of China, November 2022 Climate Change Mitigation: Policies and Lessons for Asia, Published 2022 Strengthening Active Labor Market Policies to Drive an Inclusive Recovery in Asia, Published 2022 Accelerating Private Sector Engagement in Adaptation in Asia and the Pacific, November 2022 Risk-Off Shocks and Spillovers in Safe Havens, November 2022	ADB
	Latest APEC publications: Artificial Intelligence in Economic Policymaking, November 2022 APEC Workshop on Energy Intensity Reduction in the APEC Regions’ Urbanised Cities, November 2022 Exploring Co-Benefit Opportunities for Renewable Energy and Energy Efficiency Projects in the APEC Region, November 2022 2022 CTI Annual Report to Ministers Fact sheet: 2022 APEC Senior Officials' Report on Economic and Technical Cooperation, November 2022 APEC Senior Officials' Report on Economic and Technical Cooperation, November 2022 2022 APEC Economic Policy Report Fact sheet: 2022 APEC Economic Policy Report APEC in Charts 2022 Summary of the SCE Roundtable Partnership towards Sustainable Economic Growth through the Bio-Circular-Green (BCG) Economy Model, November 2022 COVID-19 and Cross-Border Mobility in the APEC Region: Addressing Uncertainties at the Border, November 2022 Enhancing Green MSMEs’ Competitiveness for a Sustainable and Inclusive Asia-Pacific: Food Sector Waste Reduction in Food Supply Chain, November 2022	APEC


November, 2022

	Monetary Authority of Singapore: Macroeconomic Review, Volume XXI, Issue 2, October 2022 (Full Report): Monetary Policy Statement Chapter 1: The International Economy Box A Drivers of Inflation in the ASEAN+3 Economies Chapter 2: The Singapore Economy Chapter 3: Labour Market and Inflation Chapter 4: Macroeconomic Policy Box B Review of MAS Money Market Operations in FY2021/22 Special Feature A Effects of Higher Global Input Costs on Prices in Singapore Special Feature B Global Evidence on the Premium for Market Illiquidity Special Feature C Liquidity Dependence	MAS
	High Frequency Macroeconomic Forecasts Current Quarter Model: 2022Q4, October 2022. Dampened by the fifth wave of the epidemic, Hong Kong economy dropped by 2.6% in the first half of 2022. With the support of phase II of the government consumption voucher scheme and easing of social distancing measures, Hong Kong’s real GDP is estimated to revert to a 0.7% growth in 22Q3 compared to the same period last year. The job market will continue to improve with the unemployment rate dropping from 5% in the beginning of 2022 to 4% by the end of this year, returning to 21Q4’s level. Despite the significant drop of coronavirus infections in the second half of 2022, uncertainties brought by the global economic slowdown constrains output growth in the near term, especially in the external demand. Hong Kong’s GDP is expected to grow by 1.8% in 22Q4. For the year 2022 as a whole, Hong Kong’s real GDP is forecast to drop by 0.6%...	HKU
	Chinese Coercion, Australian Resilience, October 2022. Australians have grown in confidence about the country’s ability to withstand economic coercion from China since the imposition of punitive trade measures in 2020. Beijing suspended high-level political exchanges and imposed a range of informal sanctions and trade blockages against Australia in the wake of a series of escalating disputes, culminating in Canberra’s call for an independent inquiry into the origins of Covid-19 in April that year. Two years on, it is prudent to plan on the basis that it is still early days in China’s use of trade measure against Australia. Canberra and Beijing resumed ministerial-level dialogue after the election of the Albanese Labor government in May 2022...	Lowy
	Frontier Influencers: The New Face of China’s Propaganda, October 2022. This report explores how the Chinese party-state’s globally focused propaganda and disinformation capabilities are evolving and increasing in sophistication. Concerningly, this emerging approach by the Chinese party-state to influence international discourse on China, including obfuscating its record of human rights violations, is largely flying under the radar of US social media platforms and western policymakers. In the broader context of attempts by the Chinese Communist Party (CCP) to censor speech, promote disinformation and seed the internet with its preferred narratives, we focus on a small but increasingly popular set of YouTube accounts that feature mainly female China-based ethnic-minority influencers from the troubled frontier regions of Xinjiang, Tibet and Inner Mongolia, hereafter referred to as ‘frontier influencers’ or ‘frontier accounts’...	ASPI
	Deciding the Future: The Australian Army and the Infantry Fighting Vehicle, October 2022. The aim of this report is to inform government decision-makers and the public on the ability of Project LAND 400 Phase 3—the infantry fighting vehicle (IFV) acquisition—to meet the needs of Australia. I examine a number of factors that provide context for the government’s upcoming decision, whenever that may take place. Those include how IFVs fit into the Australian strategic environment, the ease with which the ADF can deploy them, their vulnerability to threats, and the ongoing utility of armour in the light of lessons unfolding from the ongoing Russian–Ukrainian War. To set the information into a useful context, this report explains the nature of contemporary land warfare and speculates how the Australian Army is likely to fight in a future conflict. To further assist those making the IFV decision, this report offers a number of scenarios that outline potential operations that the government may direct the ADF to undertake...	ASPI
	Suppressing the Truth and Spreading Lies, October 2022. The Chinese Communist Party (CCP) is attempting to influence public discourse in Solomon Islands through coordinated information operations that seek to spread false narratives and suppress information on a range of topics. Following the November 2021 Honiara riots and the March 2022 leaking of the China – Solomon Islands security agreement, the CCP has used its propaganda and disinformation capabilities to push false narratives in an effort to shape the Solomon Islands public’s perception of security issues and foreign partners. In alignment with the CCP’s regional security objectives, those messages have a strong focus on undermining Solomon Islands’ existing partnerships with Australia and the US. Although some of the CCP’s messaging occurs through routine diplomatic engagement, there’s a coordinated effort to influence the population across a broad spectrum of information channels...	ASPI
	The Gulf: Dragon on the Prowl, October 2022. The geopolitical sands are shifting in the Persian Gulf. Investments in critical infrastructure allow Beijing to project power, reap financial rewards, secure resources, expand markets, acquire strategically located bases, and undermine America’s security alliances. The Russian invasion of Ukraine has further brought into sharp focus simmering tensions and stresses and strains. Economic diversification, strategic hedging, pragmatism and “Look East” are the buzzwords. The Gulf sheikhdoms are on the cusp of history where choices made today will shape their future. Washington can no longer expect a monogamous relationship in a region ripe for polygamy with multiple suitors. Nonetheless, this paper argues that the logic of geopolitics dictates that China’s expansionist moves would prevent America’s retreat because the success of Washington’s Indo-Pacific strategy is linked to maintaining its presence in the resource-rich Gulf, and not letting China dominate it. Besides, when the chips are down, nearly all Gulf states still “Look West” for security against regional threats.	ISDP
	North Korea’s Pandemic Conundrum: Self-Containment and Humanitarian Crisis, October 2022. North Korea acknowledged its healthcare crisis this May and retreated to the Zero-COVID policy under self-containment, which they adopted in early 2020. Pyongyang also perceived economic stresses when they decided to loosen border control on trade with China last autumn. Since Kim Jong Un and other leaders of North Korea declared an extreme national emergency regarding COVID-19 just after acknowledging the pandemic cases, a humanitarian crisis has loomed. To prevent the crisis, this issue brief posits that the international community should consider providing sufficient necessities to the North Korean people, despite resistance they may face from Pyongyang.	ISDP
	Taiwan in the European Discourse: Toward Political Consensus? October 2022. The EU’s Strategy for Cooperation in the Indo-Pacific recognizes that the display of force in the Taiwan Strait may have a direct impact on European security and prosperity. In this context, and in response to the military belligerence of the People’s Republic of China and its gray zone activities, Brussels elevated Taiwan into its political discourse. Yet, consensus on the role member-states want the EU to play in the Taiwan Strait remains a work in progress. In light of Beijing’s diplomatic support to Russia’s aggression against Ukraine, the EU has grown more aware of its own vulnerabilities. This issue brief discusses how Brussels must now start seeing Taiwan through the lens of security and work toward a credible EU-level strategy that contributes to preserving the status quo in the Taiwan Strait, deters PRC aggression, and protects the EU’s own interests.	ISDP
	China’s Polar Silk Road Revisited, October 2022. China’s presence in the Arctic continues to garner international attention, not least since Beijing published its first Arctic White Paper in 2018. The prospect of improved economic opportunities caused by the melting of the Arctic ice cap, reduced shipping times, access to potentially large fossil fuel reserves, and opportunities to advance climate change research have led to numerous actors – China included – venturing further into the Arctic. China has been active in the northern polar region since the 1980s via scientific research. Yet, in tandem with Beijing concretizing its Arctic ambitions with its vanguard Polar Silk Road (PSR; 冰上丝绸之路), pushback against Chinese investments and activities grew stronger. Spearheaded by the U.S., opposition to China’s anticipated northward expansion further extended to include more Western countries (especially northern Europe and Canada). Exacerbating Sino-American tensions, in particular, have fuelled concerns that China’s Arctic ambitions may not be entirely benign, with some critical voices even suggesting that Chinese economic and research interests foreshadow a High North militarization...	ISDP
	Trends in Southeast Asia 2022 #16: Freedom of Religion in Malaysia: The Situation and Attitudes of “Deviant” Muslim Groups. Article 18 of the Universal Declaration of Human Rights (UDHR), published by the United Nations in 1948, states that “everyone has the right to freedom of thought, conscience and religion; this right includes freedom to change his religion or belief, and freedom, either alone or in community with others and in public or private, to manifest his religion or belief in teaching, practice, worship and observance.” Malaysia recently won its bid to sit on the United Nations Human Rights Council from 2022 to 2024. However, while the country’s constitution is progressive in underlining the rights of religious minorities, this is severely lacking in practice as it exercises heavy regulation on religion, combined with restrictions on the practices of certain faiths...	ISEAS
	Trends in Southeast Asia 2022 #15: Concepts and Patterns of Chinese Migration, with Reference to Southeast Asia. Concepts and patterns of Chinese migration are often described with terms such as guigen (归根, return to one’s original roots), shenggen (生根, sprout local roots), shigen (失根, lose original roots), wugen (无根, without roots), and duogen (多根, many roots). These terms, linked to the Mandarin word gen (根, roots), carry various meanings including home, citizenship, ethnicity, as well as local language, culture and society. In Southeast Asia, the predominant patterns of migration are shenggen/shigen, guigen, shenggen/shigen, wugen and/or duogen. These concepts represent the mainstream patterns during various periods, which may admittedly exist concurrently. The pattern in each particular period is influenced by an array of internal and external factors, such as colonial and subsequently government policies directed at migrants, as well as forces and opportunities afforded by globalization...	ISEAS
	Latest ADB Publications: Inclusive Education with Differentiated Instruction for Children with Disabilities: A Guidance Note, October 2022 Azerbaijan's Ecosystem for Technology Startups—Baku, Ganja, and Shamakhi, October 2022 How the Asian Development Bank Uses Change Management to Unlock the Value of Knowledge, October 2022 COVID-19 and the Deployment of Labor Migrants from Asia: Lessons Learned and Ways Forward, October 2022 Building Better Local Business Environments: Accelerating Pandemic Recovery of Small Firms in Cambodia, the Lao People’s Democratic Republic, Thailand, and Viet Nam, October 2022 Building Resilience among the Philippines’ Urban Poor, October 2022 Road Map for Developing an Online Platform to Trade Nonperforming Loans in Asia and the Pacific, October 2022 Applying the Asian Development Bank’s Approach to Gender Mainstreaming in Private Sector, October 2022 Accelerating Gender Equality in the Renewable Energy Sector, October 2022 Accelerating Gender Equality in the Agribusiness Sector, October 2022 Accelerating Gender Equality in the Finance Sector, October 2022 How Female-Friendly Are Workplaces in Urban Pakistan? October 2022 Electric Motorcycle Charging Infrastructure Road Map for Indonesia, October 2022 Two Strategies for Innovation and Growth in Asia and the Pacific, October 2022	ADB
	Latest ADB Working Paper Series: Entrepreneurship and Economic Growth: A Cross-Sectional Analysis Perspective, October 2022 Economic Impact of COVID-19 Containment Policies: Evidence Based on Novel Surface Heat Data from the People’s Republic of China, October 2022	ADB
	Latest ADBI Working Paper Series: Toward a Hydrogen Economy in Kazakhstan, October 2022 International Agreements and Global Initiatives for Low-Carbon Cooling, October 2022 Entrepreneurship Training and Online Marketplace Participation among Female Persons with Disabiliti, October 2022 Harnessing the Potential of Online Marketplaces in the Philippines: Insights from the National Information and Communications Technology Household Survey, September 2022 Contribution of Agriculture to Climate Change and Low-Emission Agricultural Development in Asia and the Pacific, September 2022 Construction of an Index Tracker for Debt Sustainability Assessment in the Philippines, September 2022	ADB
	Latest APEC publications: Policy Reponses to Stimulate MSME Demand in the Wake of COVID-19 Pandemic in APEC Economies, October 2022 Key Recommendations: Public-Private Approaches to Decarbonizing Power Systems in APEC, October 2022 Charting New Pathways for APEC: A Sustainable Future Inspired by the Bio-Circular-Green (BCG) Economy, October 2022 Putrajaya Vision 2040, COVID-19 and Information Disorder, October 2022 Planning A Transition To Electrification of Public Transit Systems: Learnings From The Bus Rapid Transit System of Metrobus in Mexico City, October 2022 The APEC LCMT Project Wrap-up Symposium, October 2022 Assessment Report: APEC Customs Capacity Building for Improved Trade Facilitation, October 2022 Guidelines on the Reduction of Seafood Waste and Loss, October 2022 Performance Assessment of Mental Health Rehabilitation to Combat the 4th Wave of COVID-19, October 2022 Gender and Structural Reform: Achieving Economic Growth through Inclusive Policies, October 2022	APEC


October, 2022

	Australia’s Semiconductor National Moonshot, September 2022. Australia has recently been forced to cross a Rubicon. Its wholehearted embrace of global free trade and just-in-time supply chains has had to confront the hard reality of geopolitics. In many parts of the world, geopolitics is choking free trade, and China—Australia’s largest trading partner—has shown itself particularly willing to use trade coercively and abrogate its free trade commitments, not just with Australia, but with countries all around the world. Advanced technologies are at the centre of this geopolitical struggle, because of the risk that withheld supply poses to national economies and security. As Covid-19 disruptions have demonstrated, the risks are not even limited to deliberate coercion...	ASPI
	The Geopolitical Implications of Russia’s Invasion of Ukraine, September 2022. The eminent Harvard University professor of Ukrainian history, Serhii Plokhy, observed that Russia’s occupation of Crimea, Donetsk and Luhansk in 2014 raised fundamental questions about Ukraine’s continuing existence as a unified state, its independence as a nation, and the democratic foundations of its political institutions. This created a new and dangerous situation not only in Ukraine but also in Europe as a whole. For the first time since the end of World War II, a major European power made war on a weaker neighbour and annexed part of the territory of a sovereign state. This unprovoked Russian aggression against Ukraine threatened the foundations of international order—a threat to which, he said, the EU and most of the world weren’t prepared to respond...	ASPI
	Assessing the Groundwork: Surveying the Impacts of Climate Change in China, September 2022. he immediate and unprecedented impacts of climate change are becoming increasingly apparent across China, as they are for many parts of the world. Since June 2022, China has been battered by record-breaking heatwaves, torrential downpours, flooding disasters, severe drought and intense forest fires. In isolation, each of those climate hazards is a reminder of the vulnerability of human systems to environmental changes, but together they are a stark reminder that climate change presents a real and existential threat to prosperity and well-being of billions of people. Sea-level rise will undermine access to freshwater for China’s coastal cities and increase the likelihood of flooding in China’s highly urbanised delta regions...	ASPI
	ASPI AUKUS Update 2: September 2022—The One-Year Anniversary. Consistent with a partnership that’s focused on the development of defence and technological capability rather than diplomatic grandstanding, there have been few public announcements about the progress of AUKUS. That’s an observation we made in our first AUKUS update in May, and one we make again in this latest update, one year on from the joint unveiling of the partnership in mid-September 2021. Periodic press releases note meetings of the three-country joint steering groups—one of which looks at submarines and the other at advanced capabilities—but provide little hint about what was discussed. On Submarines, we shouldn’t expect to hear anything concrete until the 18-month consultation phase concludes in March 2022...	ASPI
	Marles’s Defence Strategic Review—an Exploding Suitcase of Challenges to Resolve by March 2023, August 2022. The Review is to report before March 2023 so that the Albanese government can make decisions on it at the same time as they are deciding about the path that gives Australia 8 nuclear submarines within an AUKUS partnership that makes these safe and effective. Before they even get to thinking about their task – ‘to ensure Defence has the right capabilities to meet our growing strategic needs’ —Smith and Houston will need to confront the ugly fact that Defence’s current plans are already unaffordable despite the large and growing defence budget the Albanese government has committed to...	ASPI
	Renewable Energy and Climate Action: The Future of Japan and Sweden Cooperation, September 2022. This joint publication of the Institute for Security and Development Policy (ISDP) and Kajima Institute of International Peace (KIIP) in Tokyo covers a solution-oriented approach to Climate Challenges that both Japan and EU/Sweden confront at large. This study covers many critical areas such as renewable energy, climate practices and the role of technology to mitigate climate challenges. Additionally, this Special Paper analyses the Climate change mitigation efforts which may lead to conflicts among countries. Russia’s invasion of Ukraine and the resulting energy crisis have strongly reminded the world of this point...	ISDP
	U.S.-ASEAN Summit: Democracy Promotion on the Backburner, September 2022. As democracy comes under acute threat from rising authoritarianism across Southeast Asia, this issue brief explores whether there is a loss of U.S. leadership on democracy promotion in the region. A critical reading of the joint statement released after the ASEAN-U.S. special summit shows that the current U.S. administration has not followed through with the Obama-era practice of discussing democracy and human rights issues with Southeast Asian countries. Against the backdrop of China’s rising influence, this issue brief makes a case for the Biden administration to focus democracy promotion efforts on Southeast Asia while taking into account the political specificities of these countries...	ISDP
	Enlarging Indo-Pacific into the Orbit of Euro-Atlantic: Implications for India, September 2022. Following the release of the United States’ Indo-Pacific strategy that called for building bridges between the Indo-Pacific and the Euro-Atlantic, the idea of interlinking the two geopolitical theaters has gained significant currency, especially against the backdrop of the Russian invasion of Ukraine. As China and Russia’s diplomatic and military cooperation deepened amidst the Ukraine crisis, the U.S. and some of its European and Asian allies declared that the security of the two geopolitical regions is indivisible and requires an inter-theater outlook. India, which is a major player in the Indo-Pacific region, has been lukewarm to such a strategic merger...	ISDP
	EU-Taiwan Semiconductor Cooperation: Lopsided Priorities? September 2022. The European Union (EU) seeks de facto closer cooperation on chip production with Taiwan. This was underlined during Foreign Minister Joseph Wu’s Europe Tour in 2021 and by a more recent EU Parliament delegation to Taipei amid efforts to push for a bilateral investment agreement. Having announced the Chips Act in February 2022, the EU has since held its first high-level talks with a delegation from Taiwan’s Ministry of Economy. Meanwhile, reports emerged in 2021 that the world’s largest chip manufacturer –TSMC – has been in contact with European officials about setting up local production facilities in the EU...	ISDP
	Trends in Southeast Asia 2022 #14: Thailand’s Economic Dilemmas in Post-Pandemic Asia. Thailand combines many recent economic trends facing Southeast Asia, while being immersed in the geopolitics of Northeast Asia and facing demographic conditions resembling those of Northeast Asian countries. Thailand continues to economically and politically manoeuvre around the tensions in intra-Asian relations. Over the past decade, Thailand has managed to balance many disparate competitors—attracting investments from China and Japan, welcoming military cooperation with both China and the United States, and hosting travellers from Russia, Ukraine, China, the US, Israel, Saudi Arabia, and Iran—with a goal of receiving benefits from engagement with many different sides and actors. Thailand’s economy suffered greatly during the height of the COVID-19 pandemic. Today, the Thai economy appears to be on a better footing than it was on two years ago, but with substantial long-term challenges that remain unresolved...	ISEAS
	Trends in Southeast Asia 2022 #13: Health Security in Indonesia and the Normalization of the Military’s Non-Defence Role. Military engagement in non-military affairs in response to global health threats has become prominent since the outbreaks of poliovirus (2014–17), Ebola, and Zika (Carlin et al. 2021). However, military activism in non-defence arenas may have a negative impact on democratic governance, especially when soldiers are mobilized for domestic policing. But what is it that motivates leaders to mobilize military forces to deal with health crises? Likewise, what is it that motivates the armed forces to engage in public health control? There are two views in discussing these questions. Some analysts argue that it is a matter of utility in a country where state capacity is limited. They argue that leaders, in order to effectively deal with the complex challenges of a health security crisis, must mobilize all available resources, civilian or military, to maximize the government’s performance (Chretien et al. 2007; Downie 2012; WHO 2021). According to this argument, the military obeys a call-out order as its professional commitment...	ISEAS
	The Political Economy of Education in Myanmar: Recorrecting the Past, Redirecting the Present and Reengaging the Future, September 2022. Myanmar’s education sector has been consistently starved of investments and resources for many decades. Episodes of political turbulence have brought frequent crackdowns on students, with resultant damage to the education system. Myanmar’s 2021 military coup has had dramatic and adverse effects on education at all levels. Parallel educational systems — those of the coup regime, the rival National Unity Government, and ethnic organizations — now operate in Myanmar. The security of everyone involved in Myanmar’s education sector is at risk. As Myanmar moves beyond rentier status, the future of the country’s education sector will depend on forging an education sector compatible with diversity, access to modern technologies, and on educated Myanmar migrants in the diaspora.	ISEAS
	Promoting Cross-Border Connectivity in Asia: The Role of the Asian Development Bank, September 2022. Improvements in all forms of connectivity increases a country’s competitiveness by reducing trade costs, which in turn affects trade and investment flows, and economic development. Despite significant progress, gaps in both hard and soft infrastructure remain in Asia. Cross-border connectivity (CBC) projects can generate significant benefits that cannot be realised through national initiatives alone. ADB and other international financial institutions (IFIs) have played a critical role in filling the gap. However, unless capacity utilisation is increased by software related improvements, the borrowings cannot be justified. The digital economy will also require new types of connectivity due to new modes of service delivery, and IFIs must respond.	ISEAS
	Determinants of COVID-19 Vaccine Rollouts in Southeast Asia, September 2022. The emergence of the Covid-19 pandemic necessitated the administration of safe and effective vaccines to achieve herd immunity. This paper examines the key determinants of vaccine rollout in Southeast Asia, using a supply and demand model. The supply of vaccines in each country depends on vaccine procurement, state capacity, and the logistics infrastructure while demand is driven by vaccine acceptance. All countries utilized a multiple sourcing strategy for procurement. Digital technology facilitated the roll-out of vaccination and the issuance of digital vaccination certificates. Nevertheless, logistic challenges and vaccine hesitancy continue to dog Indonesia and Philippines, so that both have yet to achieve the WHO targeted 70% vaccination rate by June 2022. Myanmar’s internal problems continue to hold up its vaccination rates.	ISEAS
	Moving Forward Through COVID-19 in Singapore: Well-Being, Lessons Learnt and Future Directions, July 2022. This paper reviews the well-being of Singaporeans during the past two years of the COVID-19 pandemic. It also examines Singaporeans’ outlook towards the future, such as emerging concerns and perceptions towards government leadership, as well as lessons learnt from the pandemic. We found that while the proportion of respondents who felt stressed from the pandemic has fallen since its earlier stages in 2020, it did not necessarily translate into respondents’ self-perceptions of better mental well-being. Specifically, the proportion of those who felt stressed has fallen from 50 per cent in W1 (21 April 2020 – 23 April 2020) to 31 per cent in W52 (24 June 2022 – 4 July 2022)...	IPS
	Strengthening AML/CFT Practices for External Asset Manager, August 2022. This information paper sets out MAS’ supervisory expectations of effective anti-money laundering and countering the financing of terrorism (AML/CFT) frameworks and controls for external asset managers (EAMs), also known as independent asset managers. The guidance is based on key findings from a series of thematic inspections and engagements conducted by MAS. EAMs should review their AML/CFT frameworks and controls against these expectations in a risk-based and proportionate manner. Where EAMs observe any gaps in their frameworks and controls, specific remediation/enhancement measures should be identified and implemented in a timely manner...	MAS
	Operational Risk Management - Management of Third Party Arrangements, August 2022. Effective management of operational risk is fundamental to a financial institution’s (FI) holistic risk management framework. The nature and scope of operational risk have evolved over time, given trends such as the large-scale adoption of remote working and the adoption of new technologies. The increasing reliance on third party outsourcing and non-outsourcing arrangements (collectively, “third party arrangements”) has also prompted supervisory authorities to update their regulatory approaches. For example, the Financial Stability Board has published the responses to a consultation on “Regulatory and Supervisory Issues Relating to Outsourcing and Third-Party Relationships”, with suggestions to develop global standards on outsourcing and third party risk management, and to adopt consistent definitions and terminology...	MAS
	Latest APEC publications: APEC Energy Demand and Supply Outlook (8th Edition) - Volume I, September 2022 APEC Energy Demand and Supply Outlook (8th Edition) - Volume II, September 2022 APEC Energy Overview 2022, September 2022 Digital Technology and Global Integration: Opportunities for Innovative Growth, September 2022 Policy Options for Decarbonising Transportation in APEC, September 2022 Understanding the Bio-Circular-Green (BCG) Economy Model, August 2022 APEC Bio-Circular-Green (BCG) Symposium – Summary Report, August 2022 Workshop on Nanoplastics in Marine Debris in the APEC Region, August 2022 2021 PSU Annual Report, August 2022 Policy Brief: Rejuvenating Cities and Resilience Capacities for Multi-Challenges of COVID-19 Pandemic, Extreme Weather Events and Climate-Induced Disaster, August 2022 Knowledge Note: Rejuvenating Cities and Resilience Capacities for Multi-Challenges of COVID-19 Pandemic, Extreme Weather Events and Climate-Induced Disaster, August 2022 Understanding the Role Played by ICT in Disaster Response of MSMEs, August 2022 APEC Capacity Building Workshop on Climate-Smart Agriculture by Using Geospatial Data and Earth Science Technology, August 2022 Public Policy, Fintech and SMEs: Recommendations for Promoting a New Financing Ecosystem, August 2022	APEC
	Latest ADB Publications: Local Currency Collateral for Cross-Border Financial Transactions: Policy Recommendations from the Cross-Broder Settlement Infrastructure Forum, September 2022 Thailand’s Evolving Ecosystem Support for Technology Startups, September 2022 Tackling Unequal Access to Digital Education in Viet Nam during the COVID-19 Pandemic, September 2022 Policy Messages for Planning and Implementing High-Speed Rail in Asia, September 2022 Health Security Interventions for COVID-19 Response: Guidance Note, September 2022 Disaster Displacement in Asia and the Pacific: A Business Case for Investment in Prevention and Solutions, September 2022 Green Bond Market Survey for Cambodia: Insights on the Perspectives of Institutional Investors and Underwriters, September 2022 Green Bond Market Survey for the Lao People's Democratic Republic: Insights on the Perspectives of Institutional Investors and Underwriters, September 2022 Role of Insurance in Protecting Marine Coastal Ecosystems in Asia and the Pacific, September 2022 Asia Bond Monitor, September 2022 Collective Investment Scheme Transactions in ASEAN+3: Benchmark Product and Market Infrastructure Design, September 2022 What We’ve Learned from Working with Thailand’s Private Sector, September 2022 Narrowing the Disaster Risk Protection Gap in Central Asia, September 2022 Informal Services in Asian Cities: Lessons for Urban Planning and Management from the Covid-19 Pandemic, September 2022 Informal Services in Asian Cities: Lessons for Urban Planning and Management from the COVID-19 Pandemic, September 2022 Financing Climate Targets: A Study of Select G20 Countries, September 2022 The Emerging Era of Digital Identities: Challenges and Opportunities for the G20, August 2022	ADB
	Latest ADB Working Paper Series: Characterizing Regionalism in Asia: A Modern Global Supply Chain Perspective, September 2022 Does Corruption Discourage Entrepreneurship? September 2022 Trade Effects of Transportation Infrastructure among CAREC Countries, September 2022	ADB
	Asian Development Review, Vol. 39, No. 2, 2022 (Full Report): It hones in on trade to analyze how technology changes job markets in developing Asian economies, assesses e-commerce growth, and considers trade costs in the Philippines. Studies cover how farmers in Pakistan can increase productivity, delves into Nepal's fertilizer market, and asks whether the quality of ASEAN banks affects credit growth. Additionally, the edition explores COVID-19’s impact on Tajikistan's remittance-dependent households, and the outcomes of distributing nutritional information through conditional cash transfer networks in the Philippines. The Employment Effects of Technology, Trade, and Consumption in Global Value Chains: Evidence for Developing Asia Nexus of Technology Adoption, E-commerce, and Global Value Chains: The Case of Asia Overland and Oversea: Domestic Trade Frictions in the Philippines Information and Decision-Making Power: Explicating the Impact of Information Provision in the Conditional Cash Transfer Program on Food Consumption Share in the Philippines Remittances, Household Welfare, and the COVID-19 Pandemic in Tajikistan Behavior of Private Retailers in a Regulated Input Market: An Empirical Analysis of the Fertilizer Subsidy Policy in Nepal Technical Efficiency in Production of Major Food Grains in Punjab, Pakistan Bank Credit Growth and Trust: Does Institutional Quality Matter? Evidence from the Association of Southeast Asian Nations	ADB
	Asian Development Outlook (ADO) 2022 Update: Entrepreneurship in the Digital Age (Highlights, Theme Chapter and Full Report). The region’s economy is expected to grow 4.3% this year, compared with ADB’s projection in April of a 5.2% expansion, while the growth forecast for next year is lowered to 4.9% from 5.3%. The downward revisions have been driven by increased monetary tightening by central banks, fallout from the protracted Russian invasion of Ukraine, and recurrent COVID-19 lockdowns in the People’s Republic of China. Inflation in developing Asia this year is likely to reach 4.5%, up from ADB’s earlier projection of 3.7%. The forecast for 2023 is 4.0%, up from 3.1%. While inflation in the region remains lower than elsewhere, supply disruptions continue to push up food and fuel prices...	ADB


September, 2022

	North Korean Food Insecurity: Is Famine on the Horizon? August 2022. North Korea is a complex humanitarian emergency with food insecurity at its core. Data on grain prices and quantities depict a deteriorating situation, made worse by the regime’s self-isolating response to the COVID-19 pandemic and the war in Ukraine. The grain supply appears to have fallen below minimum human needs, but the situation is neither as dire as the 1990s famine nor as severe as conditions elsewhere in the world today. Food insecurity in North Korea is not only a humanitarian issue, but it is a strategic issue as well. From the perspective of donors, given the lack of regime accountability, at the present time aid is unlikely to be an effective lever in achieving other diplomatic goals, nor does North Korea appear to be the potential recipient of greatest need...	EWC
	Ukraine Will Not Happen in Asia: America Seeks to Check China through Taiwan Visit and Quad Initiatives, August 2022. After leading a sanction-blitz against Russia and providing $8.7 billion worth of arms and equipment to Ukraine—including M142 High Mobility Artillery Rocket Systems (HIMARS) and M777 155mm Howitzers—the United States opened a pointed tactical political flank against China through the Quadrilateral Dialogue, or Quad, summit held in Tokyo in May. China vehemently condemned US House of Representatives Speaker Nancy Pelosi's August trip to Taiwan and conducted military drills and missile tests in the waters and airspace around the island...	EWC
	Will the Partnership for Global Infrastructure and Investment be a Game-changer in the Indo-Pacific? July 2022. The 2022 summit of the G7, a group of major industrialized countries, namely Canada, France, Germany, Italy, Japan, the United Kingdom and the United States, was held on June 26 to 27 amid the unfolding Ukraine-Russia war. Argentina, India, Indonesia, Senegal, and South Africa were also invited, while Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy took part virtually. The Summit witnessed a significant focus on the war in Eastern Europe and its negative implications for global energy and food security. However, in an attempt to address the challenges brought by China’s rise and expanding economic clout, the G7 leaders unveiled the Partnership for Global Infrastructure and Investment (PGII)...	EWC
	Australia in the Middle East: Enduring Risks, Interests, and Opportunities, August 2022. As Australia refocuses its foreign and defence policies on its near abroad, it must be careful not to allow ties with the Middle East to fall into neglect. This analysis examines the impact that two decades of security engagement in the Middle East have had on Australia’s relations with the region and argues that while Canberra may have largely ended the country’s military commitments in the Middle East, the region is more important in more ways to Australia than it was before that commitment got underway. An expanded Australian diplomatic footprint, growing economic ties, and more extensive people-to-people links with the Middle East means that the region and its security risks have greater domestic relevance for Australia than they did two decades ago.	Lowy
	Wechat’s Role in Australian Democracy: A Grassroots View, August 2022. The social media messaging app WeChat is often portrayed in expert and media commentary as being inherently incompatible with democracy in Australia because the platform is subject to the scrutiny and censure of China, an authoritarian one-party state. This study provides the first in-depth snapshot of how politicians and everyday Chinese-Australians use WeChat at the grassroots level during council elections. It finds that WeChat, in these circumstances, can be broadly compatible with liberal democracy and significantly enhances democratic participation in a multicultural society. Using the December 2021 New South Wales (NSW) local elections as a case study, this paper analyses qualitative data collected from private group chats, interviews with Chinese-Australian politicians, and editors from media outlets on WeChat...	Lowy
	‘Deep Roots’: Agriculture, National Security and Nation-Building in Northern Australia, August 2022. This report offers a multidisciplinary analysis of the various components that make up and influence the vast and complex agriculture industry network in northern Australia. It examines the economic and historical underpinnings of the agriculture industry we know today; the administration, direction and implementation of agricultural policy and funding across levels of government; the many and varied demographic and cultural characteristics of the northern Australian population; and the evolution of place-based physical and digital infrastructure. The role of infrastructure and infrastructure funding in northern Australia plays a key role in the report’s narrative...	ASPI
	India’s Cyber Security Policy: Strategic Convergence and Divergence with Quad, August 2022. The rise in cyber-attacks across the Indo-Pacific and beyond has necessitated a robust and a common approach towards cyber-resilient information infrastructure in the region. The Quad has taken a good leadership role in this regard through the Joint Cyber Principles of Quad Cybersecurity Partnership. India has had a cyber-security policy since 2013 and has since been working to mitigate cyber threats at source. A nodal cyber-security agency, a strong regulatory framework, a center for protection of critical infrastructure, periodic audits, have all successfully built a strong cyber-security architecture in the country. The cyber-security policy of India shares many common principles with the Quad Joint Cyber Principles...	ISDP
	Three Decades of India’s Eastward Engagement: China’s Perceptions and Responses, August 2022. This issue brief looks into China’s perceptions and responses to India’s Act East Policy. It argues that China sees India’s Act East Policy in three phases – the first two correspond to a period when both managed to establish an equilibrium and understanding, and when India desired to strike a balance between the US and China. The third phase corresponds to the ascendance of Prime Minister Modi to the Indian political scene – the time when the equilibrium was lost owing to the power shift favoring China, and China’s malevolent relations with India following frequent standoffs resulting in the Doklam and Galwan conflicts. India realigning its Act East Policy and sub-regional and multilateral mechanisms like BIMSTEC, SAGAR, IORA, and Quad, etc., have been pronounced as part and parcel of India’s Act East Policy serving the unstated goals of India’s Indo-Pacific strategy...	ISDP
	Japan’s Historic Moment: Global Challenges Necessitate Policy Evolution, August 2022. As Japan’s power and importance in the regional and international domain continues to grow, this issue brief provides an analysis of the domestic and international threats that are challenging and shaping Japan’s historic moments. The piece asserts that while the assassination of Prime Minister Shinzo Abe showed that Japan is not immune to domestic threats, it is incorrect to connect it to threats to democracy or rule of law. However, challenges such as the Russian invasion of Ukraine, China’s belligerent actions, the growing US-Japan camaraderie, status quo changes in the Taiwan Strait as well as economic challenges such as Japan’s own new form of capitalism highlight that Japan’s national security and defense policy remains filled with symbolism...	ISDP
	Japan in the Indo-Pacific: Investing in Partnerships in South and Southeast Asia, August 2022. Japan's interest in Southeast Asia and Southeast Asia have evolved over time. When Japan opened up to international trade in the Meiji period (1868), its interests revolved around resource acquisition, including natural resources and energy resources. This evolved towards securing sea lanes of communication (SLOCs) to ensure that Japan could get access to the critical natural and energy resources needed to fuel its modernization, growth during its imperial period and post-WW 2 reconstruction. Today, Japan looks at the Indo-Pacific region through the lens of Southeast Asia and South Asia rather than focusing on only securing natural and energy resources...	ISDP
	Belt and Road Initiative: China’s Lending Hands Come with Claws, August 2022. With the economic crisis unfolding in Sri Lanka, there is a renewed interest in better understanding and analyzing the Belt and Road Initiative to prevent nations from both falling under China’s orbit and as a consequence to its “debt-traps”. This issue brief broadens the scope of analysis on the BRI by examining projects in South East Asia that may have greater geo-economic and geo-strategic significance than debt traps or deep sea ports or even power rivalry. While China has taken advantage of the infrastructure deficit in South East Asia as it has in other parts of the world, the old adage, ‘the devil is in the details’ is an appropriate characterization of the BRI in the region. This paper details the cost of roads laid per mile to the significance of special economic zones (SEZ) in the Mekong region in shaping the regional trade architecture.	ISDP
	Chinese Influence Networks in Finland: A Preliminary Case Study, August 2022. China’s activities influencing opinion in the Nordic region have recently gained increasing attention among both scholars and journalists. Although Finland has remained on the sidelines, domestic discussion on China’s activities in Finland has also gained ground, especially after the spring of 2020, when various Finnish media reported on, among other things, the activities of Chinese united front groups in Finland. Preliminary findings suggest that although China’s influence activities in Finland seem rather mild compared to many other countries, their methods and techniques largely fit global patterns. This case study reviews Chinese activities in Finland by focusing on the recent attempts to establish networks of influence and intelligence in various socio-political domains...	ISDP
	Clean-Energy Supply Chains in the Indo-Pacific: Prioritizing the Quad’s Role, August 2022. In recognition of the Indo-Pacific region being vital to the clean-energy transition, the ‘Indo-Pacific Clean Energy Supply Chain Forum’ was hosted in July 2022 by Australia with support from its Quadrilateral Security Dialogue (Quad) partners. The clean-energy transition is expected to gain momentum in the coming years as regional countries race to meet their climate targets and attempt to reduce their energy insecurity by ceasing the import of fossil fuels. However, while this acceleration of the green transition is certainly desirable, the present clean-energy supply chains are not stable enough to facilitate the shift. The transition will only move the region’s dependence on China for energy as a consequence of Beijing’s current near-monopoly over clean-energy supply chains, making them vulnerable to disruptions and weaponization for foreign policy gains...	ISDP
	Quad 4.0? To Securitize or Not to Securitize, August 2022. From an ad-hoc body that emerged to coordinate a response to a devastating tsunami in 2004, the Quad has grown into a critical and formalized framework with a practical agenda. As the grouping has become an important and (in all likelihood) a permanent fixture in the Indo-Pacific region, debates on its nature and character, and where its priorities must lie have also grown. This paper addresses a key point of contention regarding the Quad’s future: Whether the grouping should move toward a rigid security treaty alliance by enhancing its security focus, or whether it should continue on its present trajectory and focus on becoming a public good provider in the region. This paper reflects on the Quad’s evolution thus far and aims to make a case as to why the Quad must cautiously stay removed from a reverting to its initial security focus and instead focus on achieving its vision of becoming a force for good in the region...	ISDP
	Examining the Drivers of Changes in Mean Earning and Earning Inequality in Indonesia, August 2022. This paper examines the main drivers behind changes in mean earning and earning inequality in Indonesia between 2001/2 and 2018. During this period, there was an increase in workers’ education level, average age, job quality, and mean earnings. As more women participate in the labor market and women earn lower wages than men, higher female labor force participation lowered mean earning. For the overall period, the decline in educational returns at all levels of education contributed negatively to earnings. Gini index increased during this period, driven by education distribution effect and spatial location premium effect...	ISEAS
	APEC Regional Trends Analysis, August 2022 Update: Future-Proofing APEC Amid Challenges and Uncertainties, August 2022. The APEC region is expected to significantly moderate in the near term to 2.5 percent in 2022 and 2.6 percent in 2023 following a 5.9 percent rebound in 2021, reflecting sharp downgrades in economic growth for all member economies, in tandem with the rest of the world. Already reeling from a pandemic that is marked with virus mutations, the world is also dealing with soaring inflation, a protracted war in Ukraine and heightened uncertainty...	APEC
	Resiliency in a Post-Pandemic APEC: Approaches to Driving Growth in Digital Services, August 2022. The COVID-19 pandemic has had a devastating impact on global trade; and services is arguably the hardest-hit sector. This is particularly true for services that traditionally have required in-person contact (e.g., professional and tourism services) since changing consumer preferences and government containment measures had made operations challenging during the pandemic. These difficulties prompted people and businesses to adopt new solutions at an unprecedented speed, including digitalizing services delivery...	APEC
	Enhanced APEC Agenda for Structural Reform: Individual Action Plans. July 2022. This report is the collation of the IAPs submitted by APEC member economies as at 4 July 2022. The IAPs in this compilation reflect domestic initiatives of individual APEC member economies and the content of each economy’s IAP has not been endorsed by other economies. Economies are encouraged to continuously update their IAPs as living documents through to 2025. This report may be periodically refreshed to capture new or updated IAPs.	APEC
	Latest ADB Publications: Toward Inclusive Access to Trade Finance: Lessons from the Trade Finance Gaps, Growth, and Jobs Survey, August 2022 Building Regulatory and Supervisory Technology Ecosystems: For Asia’s Financial Stability and Sustainable Development, August 2022 The Hybrid Annuity Model for Public-Private Partnerships in India’s Road Sector: Lessons for Developing Asia, August 2022 Mapping the Public Voice for Development—Natural Language Processing of Social Media Text Data, August 2022 Women’s Resilience in Fiji: How Laws and Policies Promote Gender Equality in Climate Change and Disaster Risk Management, August 2022 Multilateral Development Bank Support for Disaster-Resilient Infrastructure Systems, August 2022 Hybrid and Energy Storage Systems: Review and Recommendations for Pacific Island Projects, August 2022 Beating the Heat: Investing in Pro-Poor Solutions for Urban Resilience, August 2022 Pacific Economic Monitor, August 2022 Road Map Update for Carbon Capture, Utilization, and Storage Demonstration and Deployment in the People's Republic of China, August 2022 Financial Instruments to Strengthen Women’s Economic Resilience to Climate Change and Disaster Risks, August 2022 Addressing Inequality in the People’s Republic of China, July 2022	ADB
	Latest ADBI Working Paper Series: Female Rural–Urban Migrants and Online Marketplaces in Emerging Economies: Evidence from Thailand and Viet Nam, August 2022 Macroeconomic Effects of COVID-19 in a Commodity-Exporting Economy: Evidence from Mongolia, August 2022 Institutional Quality and Macrofinancial Resilience in Asia, August 2022 Impacts of COVID-19 on Households’ Business, Employment and School Education: Evidence from Household Survey in CAREC Countries, August 2022 Global Engagement and Innovation Activities: The Case of Malaysian Manufacturing Firms, August 2022 Foreign Fund Flows and Equity Prices during the COVID-19 Pandemic: Evidence from India, July 2022 Evaluating COVID-19’s Impact on Firm Performance in the CAREC Region Using Night-Time Light Data: Azerbaijan, Georgia, Kazakhstan, and Mongolia, July 2022	ADB
	Latest ADB Working Paper Series: International Business Cycle Synchronization: A Synthetic Assessment, August 2022 Digital Divide Decoded: Can E-Commerce and Remote Workforces Enhance Enterprise Resilience in the COVID-19 Era? August 2022	ADB
	Key Indicators for Asia and the Pacific 2022 (Full Report): Part I: Sustainable Development Goals Part II: Regional Trends and Tables Part III: Global Value Chains Part IV: Harnessing Administrative Data for a More Resilient Data and Statistical Data Key Indicators for Asia and the Pacific covers 49 economies: Afghanistan, Armenia, Australia, Azerbaijan, Bangladesh, Bhutan, Brunei Darussalam, Cambodia, China, Cook Islands, Fiji Islands, Georgia, Hong Kong, India, Indonesia, Japan, Kazakhstan, Kiribati, Republic of Korea, Kyrgyz Republic, Lao, Malaysia, Maldives, Marshall Islands, Micronesia, Mongolia, Myanmar, Nauru, Nepal, Niue, New Zealand, Pakistan, Palau, Papua New Guinea, Philippines, Samoa, Singapore, Solomon Islands, Sri Lanka, Taipei, Tajikistan, Thailand, Timor-Leste, Tonga, Turkmenistan, Tuvalu, Uzbekistan, Vanuatu, and Viet Nam.	ADB


August, 2022

	India and the Indo-Pacific Economic Framework, July 2022. India’s decision to join the Indo-Pacific Economic Framework (IPEF) may have surprised many who have followed India’s recent record in joining bilateral and multilateral economic arrangements. In 2019, India announced that instead of signing the deal, it would leave the negotiations for the Regional Comprehensive Economic Partnership (RCEP), a fifteen-member trade agreement in the Asia Pacific. In 2020, India and the United States’ effort to sign a bilateral trade and investment agreement stalled. In 2021, the United States and India announced that working towards a free trade agreement was off the table...	EWC
	Taiwan Matters for America Special Series: Scholarly Ties, Cooperative Research, Academic Dialogue, and International Student Exchanges in US‒Taiwan Relations, July 2022 US-Taiwan Relations and the National Security vs. Human Rights Fallacy, July 2022 US Policy Toward Taiwan Should Emphasize Substance, Not Fanfare, July 2022 Taiwan and America: Partners in the Battle for the Cognitive Domain, July 2022 Expanding the Depth and Breadth of the US-Taiwan Technological Partnership via the Semiconductor Ecosystem, July 2022 Taiwan’s Big and Clean Bets: Towards Green Cooperation, July 2022 Resilient Industry Ecochains for the US-Taiwan Partnership, July 2022 Taiwan-US Cooperation in Public Health and Pandemic Containment, July 2022 A Thought Piece for Taiwan Matters for America, July 2022	EWC
	US-Korea Relations: Korean Soft Power Goals and US-Korea Relations, July 2022 US-Korea Cooperation on Climate Change, July 2022 A New Horizon for Korea-US Economic Relations under the Yoon Suk-yeol Administration, July 2022 From Strategic Ambiguity to Strategic Clarity? The Dynamics of South Korea’s Navigation of US-China Competition, July 2022 South Korean Foreign Policy: Changing Generational Priorities, July 2022 US-Korea Military-to-Military Relations: Past, Present, and Future, July 2022	EWC
	Special Series on The Pacific Islands: A Micronesian Perspective on Migration to the United States: Salty Feet Among Fellow People of the Sea, June 2022 Elevating and Engaging Micronesian Expertise in Hawai‘i and Oceania, June 2022 FSM Engagement with the United States and China: A Lesson Learned for the Pacific Islands, June 2022 Understanding the Political Anatomy of the “Forward Edge”: The Case of Guam, June 2022 Clean Energy Transitions in the Pacific Islands Present Opportunities for Strategic US Economic Partnerships, June 2022 The COVID-19 Pandemic in Oceania: Health Policy Decisions Matter, June 2022 US-Japan Development Cooperation for Stability and Prosperity in the Pacific Islands Region, June 2022 No Time to Lose: Renew the Compacts of Free Association, June 2022	EWC
	How to Make Indonesia’s Sovereign Wealth Fund Work, July 2022. Indonesia has finally joined a long list of emerging economies with sovereign wealth funds. Indonesia Investment Authority (INA) was established in 2021 with the task of making long-term investments to support sustainable national development. INA’s immediate role is to purchase attractive assets from infrastructure-related state enterprises, which have built up large debts since the government actively mobilised them in the mid-2010s. Through this process, state enterprises will eventually be able to use the proceeds to strengthen balance sheets and conduct more development projects. Moreover, INA is searching for external co-investors. Since domestic financial resources are limited, foreign investment could contribute to accelerating the implementation of economic projects. While benefiting from co-investors’ large capital pool and know-how, INA, in turn, could help co-investors manage financial, political, and geostrategic risks. Although still at an early stage, talk on co-investment is progressing with diverse financiers...	Lowy
	Japan’s Security Strategy, July 2022. This special report demonstrates the extraordinary proactivity of Japan towards issues of regional order-building, security and defence policy, and military capability development and teases out the implications for Australia as a closely aligned partner. The author collates and presents a wide range of disparate official source documentation and thematic analyses to render an appraisal of Japan’s security strategy in a comprehensive but digestible format. The report concludes that, while Japanese activity in the security sphere has been unprecedented and prolific, Canberra must also be aware of certain limitations in terms of resources, and political caveats to Japan becoming a ‘normal country’ or bona fide ‘great power’. Canberra, too, must be a creative, practical policymaker if the full benefits of the deepening special strategic partnership with Japan are to contribute to a truly free and open Indo-Pacific.	ASPI
	North of 26 Degrees South and the Security of Australia: Views From the Strategist, Volume 5, July 2022. The Northern Australia Strategic Policy Centre’s latest report is a series of articles published in The Strategist over the last six months, building on previous volumes by identifying critical intersections of national security, nation-building and Australia’s north. This issue, like previous volumes, includes a wide range of articles sourced from a diverse pool of expert contributors writing on topics as varied as biosecurity, infrastructure, critical communications, cyber-resilience, maritime infrastructure, foreign investment, space, and Indigenous knowledge-sharing. It also features a foreword by ASPI’s new Executive Director, Justin Bassi. The 19 articles propose concrete, real-world actions for policy-makers to facilitate the development, prosperity and security of Australia’s north. The authors share a sense that those things that make the north unique – its vast space, low population density, specific geography, and harsh investment environment – are characteristics that can be leveraged, not disadvantages.	ASPI
	Trends in Southeast Asia 2022 #12: The Halal Project in Indonesia: Shariatization, Minority Rights and Commodification. Discussions on halal are not newly invented in the context of Indonesia only since the formalization of the halal issue in the 1990s. The matter has been recognized since the coming of Islam to the archipelago. As with other religions such as Judaism, Islam also has regulations on the lawfulness and the unlawfulness of consuming and producing goods, which are classified as halal (permissible) and haram (impermissible or forbidden). In addition, halal and haram are considered important distinctions in Islam. Because halal and haram have doctrinal positions in Islam, all Muslims are committed to upholding that difference in their daily life. Other than taking part in mandatory prayers, Muslims are regulated in what is permissible and impermissible in eating, drinking and other behaviours. Those who do not obey are categorized as sinful Muslims...	ISEAS
	Trends in Southeast Asia 2022 #11: Justifying Digital Repression via “Fighting Fake News” - A Study of Four Southeast Asian Autocracies. In mainland Southeast Asia, the governments of Cambodia, Myanmar, Thailand and Vietnam have been using the pretext of curbing “fake news” to control digital space. The phenomenon of “fake news” gained international traction in light of, among other things, the 2016 US elections and Brexit, in which false online information contributed to the rise of hate speech and extremism, political divides and the eroding of democracy. While these concerns are legitimate and have led to the implementation of various regulatory measures and content moderation policies, political leaders, especially autocratic ones, have found it useful to make policy responses to “fake news” as a means to stifle critics. This weaponizing of “fake news” allegations has served to tighten the regimes’ grip on information to the detriment of a healthy information environment...	ISEAS
	Russian Foreign Policy under Putin: What Does it Mean for India? July 2022. The special and privileged strategic partnership between India and Russia has been under renewed scrutiny since the latter launched an invasion of Ukraine in February 2022. New Delhi has continued to carry out a fine balancing act in maintaining its engagement with Moscow while also managing close ties with its Western partners. Driven by national interests and geostrategic calculations, bilateral ties have remained strong despite a sense of stagnation in recent years. What factors account for this development, what are the opportunities and challenges, and how have Russian foreign policy decisions impacted its relationship with India? This issue brief traces the history of Indo-Russia ties in the 21st century to answer these questions and understand their current trajectory amidst the ongoing war.	ISDP
	India’s Act East Policy: Finding Opportunities in Post-Pandemic Adversities, July 2022. India’s Act East Policy has fallen short of its promised potential due to factors like China’s increasing influence in the region, rising tensions between India and China, and India’s withdrawal from the RCEP. Since the end of 2019, the COVID-19 pandemic has damaged economies, disrupted supply chains, interrupted services, and led to many more challenges. Despite such issues, the pandemic triggered a new urgency to re-imagine the cooperation and explore new avenues of collaboration under the Act East Policy. This issue brief discusses the new areas of cooperation – in health, digitalization, and the green economy – with India’s eastern neighbors.	ISDP
	China in Sri Lanka and Solomon Islands: Role of Littorals in the Geopolitical Competition, July 2022. This issue brief discusses the growing Chinese sphere of influence in Sri Lanka and Solomon Islands, its impact on the region and on the regional powers, India and Australia. The Rajapaksa regime in Sri Lanka and Sogavare administration in Solomon Islands face significant geostrategic competition where security agreements and multiple infrastructure projects are carried out in the littorals by extra-regional powers. Both regimes faced public protest, and are seen as fragile democracies where Chinese maneuvers are visible. China is making inroads using the Belt and Road Initiative (BRI) to expand into Sri Lanka’s regional provinces. How do Sri Lanka and Solomon Islands threaten their immediate regional power? How can the Indo-Pacific Economic Framework (IPEF)/Quad help vulnerable nations to realign with a rules-based order? What is the role of littorals in the security balance?	ISDP
	Asian Development Outlook (ADO) 2022 Supplement: Recovery Faces Diverse Challenges. This Supplement revises the growth forecasts for developing Asia from 5.2% to 4.6% for 2022 and from 5.3% to 5.2% for 2023, reflecting worsened economic prospects because of COVID-19 lockdowns in the People’s Republic of China (PRC), more aggressive monetary tightening in advanced economies, and fallout from Russia’s protracted invasion of Ukraine. The inflation forecast for developing Asia is revised up, from 3.7% to 4.2% for 2022 and from 3.1% to 3.5% for 2023, amid higher fuel and food prices. Inflation pressures in the region are, however, less than elsewhere in the world...	ADB
	Trade Interdependencies in COVID-19-Related Essential Medical Goods: Role of Trade Facilitation and Cooperation for the Asian Economies, July 2022. This paper empirically investigates the state of trade interdependency for coronavirus disease (COVID-19) essential medical goods—vaccines and their value chains, personal protective equipment, and diagnostic test kits—across 29 Asia and the Pacific economies. Expanding on Hayakawa and Imai (2022), the analysis investigates whether trade facilitation, proxied by membership in regional trade agreements (RTAs), can help mitigate any adverse impact on trade in essential medical goods...	ADB
	Latest ADBI Working Paper Series: Promoting Green Buildings: Barriers, Solutions, and Policies, July 2022 An Empirical Evidence and Proposal on the Spillover Effects of Information and Communication Technology Infrastructure in India, July 2022 Exploiting Complementarity of Carbon Pricing Instruments for Low-Carbon Development in the People’s Republic of China, June 2022	ADB
	Latest ADB Publications: The Rise of Asia: Perspectives and Beyond, Published 2022 The Story of Lanka Electricity Company, July 2022 How to Recover Learning Losses from COVID-19 School Closures in Asia and the Pacific, July 2022 Sea-Level Change in the Pacific Islands Region: A Review of Evidence to Inform Asian Development Bank Guidance on Selecting Sea-Level Projections for Climate Risk and Adaptation Assessments, July 2022 Economic Insights from Input–Output Tables for Asia and the Pacific, July 2022 Practical Responses to Real Problems: Eight Poverty Reduction Cases from the Asian Development Bank, Volume 2, July 2022 Viet Nam’s Ecosystem for Technology Startups, July 2022 Monitoring and Evaluation of ADB’s Climate Change Operational Framework 2017–2030, July 2022 Blue Economy and Blue Finance: Toward Sustainable Development and Ocean Governance, Published 2022 Long-Term Care for Older People in Viet Nam: The Current Scenario, and Next Steps Toward a Healthy, Aging Population, July 2022	ADB
	Latest APEC publications: Energy Efficiency Policy Workshop on PREE 11: Energy Efficiency Project Financing, July 2022 Innovative Approaches for Scaling-up Renewable Energy Deployment in APEC Region, July 2022 APEC Workshop on Practices and Promotion of Circular Agriculture, July 2022 APEC Digital Economy and Innovative Entrepreneurship Online Forum: Enhancing Inclusive Participation and Digital Upskilling for Youths, July 2022 Low-Carbon Hydrogen International Standard – Post-Workshop Report, July 2022 APEC Workshop on Promoting Social Enterprises for Inclusive Growth, July 2022 Training Package on Caregiver Digital Upskilling, July 2022	APEC


July, 2022

	Philippine Perspectives on the 75th Anniversary of US-Philippines Bilateral Relations, June 2022: Examining Philippine-US Cooperation Amid the Covid-19 Pandemic: Setting a Broader Agenda for Educating Filipino Children and Youth Consolidation, Contestation, and Convergence: Revisiting American Influence on the Development of Philippine Social Sciences The Complex History of US-Philippine Health Partnerships The Philippines-US Development Partnership Running Out of Gas in the Philippines: A Boon or Bane? A Proverbial Shot in the Arm: US Investment Is Key to Boost Philippine Economic Recovery and Resilience Philippine-United States Trade Relations: Looking Back and a Way Forward US-Philippine Defense Cooperation for Maritime Security Challenges and Gains in Military Relations between the Philippines and the United States 75 Years of Philippines-US Relations: From Strategic Partnership to Multifaceted Relationship	EWC
	The Australian Defence Force and Its Future Energy Requirements, June 2022. The global energy system is undergoing a rapid and enduring shift with inescapable implications for militaries, including the ADF. Electrification and the use of alternative liquid fuels are occurring at scale across the civilian economies. Despite that, fossil fuels, such as diesel and jet fuel, will be around for a long time to come, given their use in long-lived systems like air warfare destroyers, Lockheed Martin’s F-35 aircraft, M1A2 Abrams tanks, and in capabilities still in the design stage but planned to enter service beginning in the mid-2030s such as the Hunter-class frigates. Australian supply of these fuels is provided by globally sourced crude oil flowing through a handful of East and Southeast Asian refineries. Supply arrangements for these critical commodities are likely to become more fraught, however. This is already occurring because of the fracturing of global supply chains and the drive for national resilience in many nations, driven by Covid-19, the return of coercive state power and, of course, Putin’s war in Ukraine. Australia’s dependence on imports for liquid-fuel security, at least as it pertains to the ADF, extends well beyond insufficient reserves and refineries...	ASPI
	Countering the Hydra: A Proposal for an Indo-Pacific Hybrid Threat Centre, June 2022. Enabled by digital technologies and fuelled by geopolitical competition, hybrid threats in the Indo-Pacific are increasing in breadth, application and intensity. Hybrid threats are a mix of military, non-military, covert and overt activities by state and non-state actors that occur below the line of conventional warfare. The consequences for individual nations include weakened institutions, disrupted social systems and economies, and greater vulnerability to coercion—especially from revisionist powers such as China. But the consequences of increased hybrid activity in the Indo-Pacific reach well beyond individual nations. The Indo-Pacific hosts a wide variety of political systems and interests, with multiple centres of influence, multiple points of tension and an increasingly belligerent authoritarian power. It lacks the regional institutions and practised behaviours to help ensure ongoing security and stability. And, because of its position as a critical centre of global economic and social dynamism, instability in the Indo-Pacific, whether through or triggered by hybrid threats, has global ramifications...	ASPI
	Ukraine-Russia War: A Prelude to a Post-Western International Order? June 2022. This Issue Brief analyzes how the collective action of developed countries in response to Russia’s invasion of Ukraine has demonstrated just how dominant the so-called “Western” international order is. Instead of a post-Western international order emerging, the developed countries’ response to Russia’s invasion of Ukraine and concerns about China’s revisionist track record, reveals how so-called Western international order is adapting to outcompete and be resilient against revisionist states that chose to use military or other means to revise international order in their favor.	ISDP
	Rethinking Greater Central Asia: New American and Western Approaches to Continental Trade and Afghanistan, June 2022. Greater Central Asia is reeling from the twin shocks of the U.S. withdrawal from Afghanistan and Vladimir Putin’s invasion of Ukraine. The chaotic U.S. withdrawal risks postponing indefinitely Central Asian efforts to escape the region’s key geography-induced challenge – its landlocked status – as the prospect of building direct links to the world seas through that country now seem bleak. Russia’s aggressive behavior in Ukraine suggests it could be poised to assert itself in Central Asia as well, benefiting from Central Asia’s inability to connect directly to the world economy. These events, to which China’s growing role in the region should be added, suggest that U.S. and EU approaches to the region – governed through relatively recent strategy documents – must be rethought. The Afghan government formed in 2002 had worked with international funders and partners to reopen the ancient corridors to the South and to transform them into modern roads and railroads supplemented with pipelines for the east-west shipment of gas and north-south power lines for transmitting electricity...	ISDP
	Political and Economic Reforms in Kazakhstan Under President Tokayev, November 2021. Kazakhstan’s leaders have long harbored ambitious visions for their country’s future. The country’s first President, Nursultan Nazarbayev, launched several far-reaching goals for the country’s development, most notably in 2012 the “Kazakhstan 2050” strategy, which aimed for Kazakhstan to take a place among the world’s 30 most developed states by mid-century. For a young country in the third decade of its independence, such lofty goals clearly required far-reaching reforms. Still, Kazakhstan’s leadership focused primarily on reforming the country’s economy. While acknowledging the need for political reforms, the leadership explicitly followed a strategy that prioritized the economy. President Nazarbayev on numerous occasions stated that “we say: the economy first, then politics.” But major shifts in the global political economy in the past decade forced a revision to this strategy. By 2015, it had become clear that a focus on economics alone would not be sufficient for Kazakhstan to reach its stated goals...	ISDP
	After the India-US Civil Nuclear Agreement: Assessing India’s Responsible Nuclear Status in Global Governance, June 2022. India has maintained a historical opposition to joining the Treaty on the Non-Proliferation of Nuclear Weapons (NPT) and the Comprehensive Test Ban Treaty (CTBT), in arguing that both treaties create an unfair hierarchical system in global governance. However, in spite of contesting these norms that govern nuclear practices, India has been successful in gaining de facto recognition from the United States through a bilateral signing of the 123 Agreement. While examining this paradox, this paper argues that even with the rendered de facto recognition, India’s nuclear identity remains far from being normalized...	ISDP
	Kazakhstan’s June Referendum: Accelerating Reform, May 2022. The violence of January 2022 exposed both the demand for greater change in Kazakhstan’s society, as well as elite conflicts involving influential forces seeking to block President Kassym-Jomart Tokayev’s reform initiatives. As President Tokayev emerged from the crisis with greater authority over the country’s governing institutions, he fast-tracked a political reform package planned for later in the year, and submitted it to a nationwide referendum scheduled for June 5. The changes envisaged accelerate the pace of reform in the country, but remain within the fundamental paradigm of top-led gradual change to the system that has been Tokayev’s intention since his election in 2019. Conditions for their implementation will not be easy, given a difficult economic and geopolitical environment. Still, these reforms represent a shift: while earlier reforms sought to build participatory and competitive politics only very slowly at the local level, the current reform package envisages a gradual liberalization of the political system at all levels in order for the system to maintain its legitimacy.	ISDP
	Trends in Southeast Asia 2022 #10: Muslim Sectarianism versus the De-escalation of Sectarianism in Malaysia. In 1992, a group of academics from the National University of Malaysia (UKM) organized a seminar titled “Seminar Ahli Sunnah dan Syiah Imamiyyah” (“Seminar on Ahl al-Sunnah and Imami Shi’ism”) in Kuala Lumpur. The two-day event arguably aimed to demonize the Shi’a sect and its adherents, as evident from the content of the presentations which will be discussed below. Among the various presenters was Wan Zahidi Wan Teh (1992, pp. 1–34), a lecturer from the Department of Shariah who presented a paper on “Ahlul Bait Menurut Pandangan Sunnah dan Syiah” (“The Prophet’s Household According to Sunnis and Shi’as”). After a lengthy explanation of his own understanding of the Ahlul Bait, he argued that Shi’as should not have the right to talk about the Ahlul Bait, and he dismissed them as a movement founded by Jews. He then quoted the founder of Wahhabism, Imam Muhammad bin Abdul Wahhab, and referred to Shi’as as apostates (ibid., p. 30). Proclaiming himself as adefender of Islam, he concluded that the goal of Shi’as in Malaysia...	ISEAS
	Attitudes towards Work and Workplace Arrangements Amidst COVID-19 in Singapore, April 2022. This paper presents the attitudes and perceptions of Singaporeans towards work and workplace arrangements amidst the global COVID-19 pandemic. It also examines their work experiences, beliefs and aspirations, as well as their well-being during this period. The pandemic has pushed both employers and employees to consider new ways of work. While many employers, prior to the COVID-19 pandemic, have been slow in initiating flexible working arrangements, the pandemic has accelerated the adoption of such practices. Indeed, the world’s biggest experiment on remote working has proven that employees generally remain productive even when they are not on-site. A major draw of flexible working arrangements has been its potential to allow greater work-life harmony. For working parents, especially females who typically carry a heavier caregiving burden, flexible working arrangements has allowed them to work while taking care of their children. It has also given more opportunities for men, who otherwise would have been confined to the office, to better share in domestic work...	IPS
	Precarity in Platform Work: A Study of Private-Hire Car Drivers and Food Delivery Rider, February 2022. Since 2019, aided by a Social Science Research Council Thematic Grant, researchers from the Institute of Policy Studies began research to understand the experiences of platform workers, specifically the experiences of private-hire car (PHC) drivers and delivery riders. This research was complemented by a collaboration with technology super-app Gojek which started in January 2021 and ended in April 2021. While planned before the COVID-19 pandemic and extended well into the current times, the studies were conducted against the backdrop of increasing economic and social uncertainty and work precarity; conditions that have existed before the pandemic but further amplified since then. We were interested in areas such as the profile of these workers, the reasons for their joining and/or leaving (if at all) platform work, financial and physical health, job protections and precarity, future job prospects and to discover other job-related insights to obtain a better appreciation of these workers, as well as their contexts. This working paper reflects our ongoing work in this area...	IPS
	Latest ADBI Working Paper Series: Monetary Stance and Favorableness of Monetary Policy in the Media: The Case of Viet Nam, June 2022 Women Online: A Study of Common Service Centers in India Using a Capability Approach, June 2022 The Impact of Sending Top College Graduates to Rural Primary Schools, June 2022 The Cold Economy, June 2022 Technology Spillover and Absorptive Capacity of Firms and Countries, June 2022 Is Hiring Foreign Worth It? Spillover from Foreign Firms’ Human Capital and Local Firms’ Productivity, June 2022 Simultaneity and Heterogeneity in Import and Productivity: Case Study of Indonesian Manufacturing, June 2022 Mobile-Assisted Language Teaching: A Systematic Review with Implications for Southeast Asia, June 2022 Harnessing Foreign Technology to Improve Firm Performance: Evidence from Philippine Manufacturing Enterprises, June 2022 Recent Developments in Basic Education in Thailand: Issues and Challenges, June 2022	ADB
	Latest ADB Working Paper Series: Developing Asia’s Fiscal Landscape and Challenges, June 2022 Quantile Debt Fan Charts, June 2022 The Path to Kina Convertibility: An Analysis of Papua New Guinea’s Foreign Exchange Market, June 2022 The Distributional Impacts of Fiscal Policy: The Case of the Philippines, June 2022 Impact Evaluation of Support to Collective Action for Agricultural Value Chain Development in Nepal, June 2022	ADB
	Latest ADB Publications: Cambodia’s Ecosystem for Technology Startups, June 2022 Singapore’s Ecosystem for Technology Startups and Lessons for Its Neighbors, June 2022 The Asia–Pacific Road Safety Observatory’s Indicators for Member Countries, June 2022 Asia Bond Monitor, June 2022 Labor Market Conditions for Health and Elderly Care Workers in the People’s Republic of China, June 2022 Creative Economy 2030: Imagining and Delivering a Robust, Creative, Inclusive, and Sustainable Recovery, June 2022 Green Bond Market Survey for Thailand: Insights on the Perspectives of Institutional Investors and Underwriters, June 2022 Recent Technological Advances in Financial Market Infrastructure in ASEAN+3: Cross-Border Settlement Infrastructure Forum, June 2022 Women’s Resilience in the Lao People's Democratic Republic: How Laws and Policies Promote Gender Equality in Climate change and Disaster Risk Management, June 2022 Women’s Resilience in Mongolia: How Laws and Policies Promote Gender Equality in Climate change and Disaster Risk Management, June 2022 Promoting Local Currency Sustainable Finance in ASEAN+3, June 2022 Leveraging Fintech to Expand Digital Health in Indonesia, the Philippines, and Singapore: Lessons for Asia and the Pacific, June 2022 WTO Accession and Post-Accession Trade Policy by Selected Transition Economies in the Caucasus and Central Asia, June 2022 Regional Flyway Initiative: Investing in the East Asian–Australasian Flyway for Nature and People, June 2022	ADB
	Latest APEC publications: Promote Supply Chain Connectivity by Enhancing and Better Understanding Digital Innovation in APEC Port Industry, June 2022 Best Practices and Recommended Policies for Optimising the Plastic Supply Chain in Southeast and East Asia, June 2022 Project Report: APEC Sustainable Coastal Cities Symposium 2021, June 2022 Individual Action Plan for the Enhancement of the Ratio of Women's Representation in Leadership: Final Review Study and Online Workshop, June 2022 Final Report on Capacity Building for Digital Innovation Using Blockchain Technology, June 2022 APEC Cross-Domain Innovation Ecosystem Guidebook: A New Growth Path for SMEs through Digital Platforms, June 2022 Learning Workshop in Artificial Intelligence: Experiences of APEC Economies, June 2022 Study on Transparency of Technical Barriers to Trade Notifications in the APEC Region, June 2022 The Future of Women at Work: Empowering Women’s Role in the Transition Era of Automation, June 2022 Sustainable Materials Management of Food in the APEC Region: A Review of Public Policies That Support Reducing Food Loss and Waste, June 2022 PPFS Webinar on Sharing Best Practices on Digitalization and Innovation of APEC Food System, June 2022 Capacity Building on Testing and Conformity Assessment of Fine Bubble Technologies for Use in Agro-/Aqua-Culture and Water Treatment in APEC Region, June 2022 Follow-Up Peer Review on Energy Efficiency in Indonesia, June 2022 Research Outcomes: Summary of Research Projects 2021	APEC


June, 2022

	China's Military Advances Make Case for Strategic Stability Talks, May 2022. China has long sought to distinguish its nuclear posture and force structure from those of Russia and the United States. However, its recent military advances and shifts in arsenal size, mating posture, alert status, dual-capable systems, and machine learning and autonomy demonstrate an ever-growing degree of convergence with these two countries. While introducing the potential for arms races or crises, these developments also increase the impetus for strategic stability dialogues. Unlike arms control negotiations, which tend to concentrate on limits to weapons development and numbers, strategic stability dialogues are broader and focus on weapons employment and escalation. Though past efforts to engage in such talks have met with challenges, the appeal of strategic stability talks may be growing.	EWC
	NATO’s Asia-Pacific Partners & Their Ukraine Response: Why Global Partnerships Matter for America, May 2022. The North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO) is traditionally thought of as a military alliance between 28 European member states and 2 North American member states (Canada and the United States). However, NATO has been stepping up engagement with its four “Asia-Pacific partners” (Japan, South Korea, Australia, and New Zealand) since December 2020, when these four countries participated for the first time in a NATO Foreign Ministerial Meeting. But these four countries have been involved with NATO as “partners across the globe” for decades — Japan since the early 1990s, South Korea and Australia since 2005, and New Zealand since 2001...	EWC
	Turning Point? Putin, Xi, and the Russian Invasion of Ukraine, May 2022. At their Beijing summit in February 2022, Chinese President Xi Jinping and Russian President Vladimir Putin proclaimed a “friendship without limits”. Yet Putin’s invasion of Ukraine, and the Chinese response to it, has exposed the limitations of the Sino–Russian partnership. Far from being an “axis of authoritarians”, this is a traditional great power relationship centred in strategic calculus. Chinese and Russian interests diverge in key respects, and the war has highlighted contrasting visions of global order and disorder. Xi Jinping has attempted to steer a “neutral” course that preserves the partnership with Russia while protecting China’s global interests. This balancing act will become harder to sustain as the war in Ukraine drags on. Beijing’s default position is still to lean towards Moscow. For both sides, the partnership is too important to fail. But over time, its quality will erode. As China and Russia follow different trajectories of development, the commonalities between them will become fewer. The relationship will become increasingly unequal and dysfunctional, and be defined principally by its constraints...	Lowy
	China’s Messaging on the Ukraine Conflict, May 2022. In the early days of Russia’s invasion of Ukraine, social media posts by Chinese diplomats on US platforms almost exclusively blamed the US, NATO and the West for the conflict. Chinese diplomats amplified Russian disinformation about US biological weapon labs in Ukraine, linking this narrative with conspiracy theories about the origins of COVID-19. Chinese state media mirrored these narratives, as well as replicating the Kremlin’s language describing the invasion as a ‘special military operation’. ASPI found that China’s diplomatic messaging was distributed in multiple languages, with its framing tailored to different regions. In the early stage of the conflict, tweets about Ukraine by Chinese diplomats performed better than unrelated content, particularly when the content attacked or blamed the West. ASPI’s research suggests that, in terms of its international facing propaganda, the Russia–Ukraine conflict initially offered the party-state’s international-facing propaganda system an opportunity to reassert enduring preoccupations that the Chinese Communist Party perceives as fundamental to its political security...	ASPI
	The Transnational Element of a ‘Domestic’ Problem: Policy Solutions to Countering Right-Wing Violent Extremism in Australia, May 2022. The rise of right-wing violent extremist (RWE) ideas bursts to the forefront of public attention in flashes of violence. Shootings and vehicular attacks perpetrated by individuals motivated by hateful views stun the public. They have also sharpened government attention to and galvanised action on addressing such violence. These incidents of violence and these disturbing trends call for renewed vigilance in confronting RWE, which ASIO has since classified as ‘ideologically motivated violent extremism’ (IMVE), in Australia’s security agencies’ policy and law enforcement responses. As governments respond to IMVE, it is important to nuance how they conceptualise the challenges posed by RWE and, therefore, scope their solutions...	ASPI
	AUKUS Update #1: May 2022. On the 16th of September 2021, the leaders of Australia, the UK and the US announced the creation of a new trilateral security partnership called ‘AUKUS’—Australia, the United Kingdom and the United States. The three national leaders stated, ‘We will foster deeper integration of security and defense-related science, technology, industrial bases, and supply chains. And in particular, we will significantly deepen cooperation on a range of security and defense capabilities.’ At a time of rapidly increasing strategic uncertainty, when it’s increasingly clear that authoritarian regimes are willing to use military power to achieve their goals, it’s important to monitor the implementation of AUKUS so that governments and the public can assess whether it’s achieving the goal of accelerating the fielding of crucial military technologies...	ASPI
	Understanding the Price of Military Equipment, May 2022. Confusion reigns in discussions about the cost of the Department of Defence’s equipment projects. Whether we’re talking about media articles, parliamentary committee hearings, letters to the editor, duelling internet commentators or any other forms of discourse that address Defence acquisitions, the only thing that’s clear is that we’re almost always talking past each other when it comes to the cost of military equipment. Defence doesn’t help when it releases only a bare minimum of information. This sorry state of affairs reached its peak several years ago, when it turned out that when Defence said that the cost of the Attack-class submarine was $50 billion it really meant that the cost was somewhere around $90 billion. The situation gets even murkier when commentators compare the cost of military acquisition projects here in Australia with ones overseas. It’s very rare that we can make a direct, apples-to-apples comparison between local and overseas projects, and very often it’s more like apples-to-orangutans. Being completely unaware of the basis of the costs they’re comparing doesn’t stop some commentators from making strong claims about the rapacity of foreign arms companies or the competence of the Australian Defence Department...	ASPI
	India and the Persian Gulf: Bilateralism, Regional Security and the China Factor, May 2022. This issue brief discusses how regional security in the Persian Gulf is vital for the international oil and gas market, and maritime security in the western Indian Ocean. For India, the region is additionally significant for the presence of its large expatriate population in the GCC and as an “extended neighborhood.” For three decades, India’s policy towards the Gulf and wider West Asia/Middle East region has been marked by bilateralism within the broader framework of a multi-aligned foreign policy. India eschews taking sides in regional disputes as it can harm its primary interests pertaining to trade, commerce, business, security and defense cooperation. However, the developments in the Indo-Pacific, deterioration of Sino Indian relations, the expansion of China threat perception to western Indian Ocean, and the convergence on the China factor with the US and European countries is pushing India to recalibrate its regional approach as noticeable from three recent events.	ISDP
	South Korea’s Foreign Policy in Changing Times: Reversing Course? May 2022. The tragedy currently unfolding in Ukraine may be a symptom of new dynamics in global geopolitics. The changing balance of power epitomized by the rise of China and the shrinking American interest and resolve in asserting its traditional global role has emboldened Putin’s ambition to restore the past glory of the Russian empire. The same dynamics have also made geopolitics acuter in East Asia, from which South Korea can never be free. The COVID-19 pandemic since 2020 has only accelerated the competitive nature of international power dynamics. Faced with the broader shift in world order, how will South Korea’s foreign policy under the new government unfold? This policy brief attempts to explain the main objectives of the incoming government’s foreign policy and how these might be implemented. In so doing, it evaluates the new government’s view of the past five years of South Korean foreign policy under outgoing President Moon Jae-in – a policy which it seeks in part to reverse.	ISDP
	Trends in Southeast Asia 2022 #9: Financial Technology Adoption in Greater Jakarta: Patterns, Constraints and Enablers. The COVID-19 pandemic has arguably accelerated changes in consumer behaviour, leading to more people performing economic activities online. One important change is the adoption of fintech as a preferred transaction and payment method. This trend is driven by a significant proportion of the unbanked population and the lower-income segment in urban areas. New fintech start-ups such as ShopeePay (E-wallet), Shopee Paylater (Buy Now Pay Later or BNPL) and Kredivo (Online Lending Service) and Bibit (Mutual Fund Invesment) have all introduced innovative ways to offer online financial services in Indonesia’s rapidly growing digital economy. Fintech enterprises offering E-wallet, BNPL, Online Lending...	ISEAS
	Trends in Southeast Asia 2022 #8: Understanding and Reducing Methane Emissions in Southeast Asia. The Global Methane Pledge was ratified at the end of 2021. While intense discussion of its significance dominated the climate discourse in North America and Europe, the reception of the Pledge in Southeast Asia was lukewarm. This paper aims to help the policy community understand four major aspects concerning methane emissions: basic science, global ambition, regional trends, and sector challenges. In 1990, the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) published its First Assessment Report, in which scientists stated with certainty that human-caused greenhouse gases were accumulating in the atmosphere. One of these significant gases was methane. Since then, global methane emissions have increased by 17.4 per cent, reaching 8.3 billion tCO2e in 2018...	ISEAS
	Monetary Authority of Singapore: Macroeconomic Review, Volume XXI, Issue 1, April 2022 (Full Report): Monetary Policy Statement Chapter 1: The International Economy Chapter 2: The Singapore Economy Chapter 3: Labour Market and Inflation Box A Revisiting the 1970s Inflation Shocks Chapter 4: Macroeconomic Policy Special Feature A Invoicing Currency in Singapore’s Merchandise Imports Special Feature B Macroeconomic Modelling at MAS Special Feature C The Roles of Central Banks — Evolution, or Demand and Supply?	MAS
	Latest APEC publications: APEC Regional Trends Analysis, May 2022: Tackling Trade Costs and Facilitating Supply Chain Networks; Sustainable Recovery amid Uncertainty, May 2022 Study on Tariffs: Analysis of the RCEP Tariff Liberalization Schedules, May 2022 The FDI Network, Global Value Chain Participation and Economic Upgrading, May 2022 Lessons from the COVID-19 Pandemic: A Renewed Agenda for the Free Trade Area of the Asia-Pacific, May 2022	APEC
	Latest ADB Working Paper Series: A Simple Model of Internal and External Balance for Resource-Rich Developing Countries, May 2022 COVID-19 Lockdown Policy and Heterogeneous Responses of Urban Mobility: Evidence from the Philippines, May 2022 Impacts of Social Distancing Policy and Vaccination During the COVID-19 Pandemic in the Republic of Korea, May 2022 Potential Economic Impact of COVID-19-Related School Closures, May 2022 Buoyant or Sinking? Tax Revenue Performance and Prospects in Developing Asia, May 2022	ADB
	Latest ADBI Working Paper Series: Spillovers from US Monetary Shocks: Role of Policy Drivers and Cyclical Conditions, May 2022 Bilateral Remittance Inflows to Asia and the Pacific: Countercyclicality and Motivations to Remit, May 2022 How Do the Financial Markets Respond to Emerging Economies’ Asset Purchase Program? May 2022 Renewable Energy Certificates Trading in India: A Decade in Review, May 2022 Impacts of COVID-19 on Households in ASEAN Countries and Their Implications for Human Capital Development: Medium-Run Impacts and the Role of Government Support, May 2022 Health Shocks and Overindebtedness: A Panel Data Analysis from Rural Viet Nam, May 2022	ADB
	Latest ADB Publications: Making Urban Power Distribution Systems Climate-Resilient, May 2022 Climate Change Risk Profile of the Mountain Region in Sri Lanka, May 2022 Labor Migration in Asia: COVID-19 Impacts, Challenges, and Policy Responses, May 2022 National Single Window: Guidance Note, May 2022 A Comparative Analysis of Tax Administration in Asia and the Pacific: Fifth Edition, Published 2022 Harnessing the Potential of Big Data in Post-Pandemic Southeast Asia, May 2022 Strengthening Domestic Resource Mobilization in Southeast Asia, May 2022 Supporting Post-COVID-19 Economic Recovery in Southeast Asia, May 2022 Implementing a Green Recovery in Southeast Asia, May 2022 Foundational (K-12) Education System: Navigating 21st Century Challenges, May 2022 Launching a Digital Tax Administration Transformation: What You Need to Know, May 2022 The Regional Comprehensive Economic Partnership Agreement: A New Paradigm in Asian Regional Cooperation? May 2022 Policy Measures to Foster Growth in the People's Republic of China (Observations and Suggestions, April 2022	ADB

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