ISEAS Working Papers on
				Economics and Finance 
				 
					
				Tourism and Amenities in Malaysia, March 2025. The 
				tourism industry in Malaysia was adversely affected by the 
				Covid-19 pandemic. Domestic tourism has recovered faster that 
				in-bound tourism. The empirical analysis in this study indicates 
				that air connectivity is a key amenity for in-bound tourism. 
				Shopping-related amenities may be less important for in-bound 
				tourism due to the type of tourist attractions that appeal to 
				in-bound tourists. There is also evidence that Malaysia is 
				currently regarded as a low cost or cheap holiday destination. 
				It attracts tourists from relatively lower income and with 
				weaker national currency. These findings support key elements of 
				the current government policies for the industry. 
				
					
				Demographic Change and Services: The Case of Malaysia, March 
				2025. Malaysia is at the threshold of transitioning 
				into an aging society. This study undertakes an empirical 
				analysis of demographic changes in Malaysia and how this has 
				brought about changes in the demand for services in the country. 
				Evidence from this study suggests that the demand for services 
				such as information and communications is relatively robust 
				against demographic change but will evolve as higher income 
				increases the demand for quality services. The education 
				services will be transformed with the shrinking of the share of 
				the younger population... 
				
					
					
					Structural Transformation and Inclusive Growth in Cambodia: 
					Country Diagnostic and Product Space Analyses, October 2024. Cambodia 
					aims to become an upper middle-income country by 2030 and a 
					high-income country by 2050. This study provides a country 
					diagnostic analysis of the Cambodian economy. An empirical 
					analysis based on product space is carried out to identify 
					product diversification and future growth opportunities to 
					guide Cambodia’s structural transformation path. By 
					addressing the key constraints to intra-sectoral 
					diversification, Cambodia would be better placed to navigate 
					the inherent trade-offs between capabilities, complexity and 
					opportunity gain. 
				
					
				Politics, Pandemics and Economics: Malaysia’s Post-Covid 
				Election, July 2024. Malaysia’s fifteenth general 
				election was in November 2022. Held in the aftermath of the 
				Covid-19 pandemic, economic recovery was sufficiently robust to 
				benefit the two political parties PAS and BERSATU which 
				campaigned as incumbents in the election. There was a shift in 
				the support away from UMNO to these two parties amongst the 
				Bumiputra voters in Peninsular Malaysia. Voters’ support for PAS 
				was particularly strong in constituencies with higher poverty 
				rates and lower inequality. The opposite is true for PKR and 
				DAP. The low explanatory power of the economic voting model for 
				UMNO also hints that other factors that could have reduced 
				voters’ support for the party in GE2022. 
				
					
				Chinese Investments in Malaysia: Synthesizing the Evidence Ten 
				Years into the BRI, December 2023. The launch of the BRI in 
				2013 raised the interests of Chinese investors in Malaysia. 
				However, views of the BRI in Malaysia are often based on a few 
				mega projects, which are financed by federal loans. This lends a 
				misleading view that Chinese investments are motivated by 
				geoeconomic interests alone rather than commercial interests. 
				This study synthesizes the existing evidence on Chinese 
				investments in Malaysia, ten years into the BRI, using an 
				Antecedent, FDI Decision and Outcome (ADO) framework. It seeks 
				to shed light on the nature, drivers, and motivations as well as 
				some of the outcomes of these investments. It is found that 
				Chinese investments in Malaysia are diverse in terms of sectoral 
				coverage, drivers, and entry modes while the long-term impact on 
				technology transfer remains unclear. 
				
					
					
					Human Capital, Amenities and Trade: The Case of Malaysia, 
					September 2023. Human capital plays an increasingly 
					important role in economies undergoing structural 
					transformation that involves technological upgrading and 
					sustained trade competitiveness. Both production and 
					consumption amenities are essential to develop, attract and 
					support a workforce with high human capital. Different types 
					of production and consumption amenities are relevant for 
					different kinds of activities at various locations. As human 
					capital growth is likely to be accompanied by worsening 
					inequality, complementary policies are needed to promote 
					inclusiveness without dampening human capital development. 
				
					
					
				Unbundling Regimes and Structural Transformation in Malaysia, 
				August 2023. Technological changes have significant 
				transformative effects on economic activities. The waves of 
				technological innovations in transport and ICT have provided 
				opportunities for globalisation. Malaysia has levied the first 
				unbundling - enabled by lowering of transport costs - to 
				industrialise for five decades. The ICT-driven second unbundling 
				is proving to be more challenging for the country’s 
				manufacturing competitiveness. Weaknesses in the linkages within 
				the technology-services-GVC nexus is a structural weakness that 
				needs to be overcome. This is crucial for effective 
				participation in the third-unbundling. 
				
					
				The Belt and Road Initiative in Cambodia: Costs and Benefits, 
				Real and Perceived, March 2023. China is Cambodia’s largest 
				bilateral donor, lender, investor, and trading partner. Economic 
				relations have been strengthened by Cambodia’s active 
				participation in the Belt and Road Initiative (BRI). 
				Participating in the BRI has costs and benefits. It has 
				addressed infrastructure deficits, reducing trade and transport 
				costs, supporting productivity and economic growth. This has 
				improved living conditions and reduced poverty. On the negative 
				side, there are concerns over environmental decay, land 
				grabbing, and associated losses in livelihoods. Benefits appear 
				to outweigh costs in Cambodia. Nevertheless, China is trying to 
				improve the environmental, social and financial sustainability 
				of BRI investments, following international criticisms... 
				
					
				Real Exchange Rate and Firm Productivity: The Case of Vietnamese 
				Manufacturing, December 2022. 
					This study investigates the relationship between the real 
				exchange rate and firm productivity. Using the 
				difference-in-differences methodology, a persistent real 
				appreciation in VND has a positive effect on firm productivity 
				in the Vietnamese manufacturing sector. One of the mechanisms 
				that could explain this effect is that real appreciation boosts 
				firm productivity through R&D. Small and medium-sized firms 
				benefit more from real appreciation than large firms. 
				
					
				Strategic Policies for Digital Economic Transformation: The Case 
				of Malaysia, November 2022. 
					Malaysia’s first attempt at digital economic transformation 
				began in the mid-1990s and lasted for some 15 years. The 
				Multimedia Super Corridor has some initial success but 
				underachieved in some areas. The second phase of strategic 
				policies took place in the period 2016-2021 with the launch of 
				four successive policies and plans dealing with e-commerce, 4IR 
				manufacturing and digital economy. The legal and regulatory 
				landscape for the digital economy has also evolved. Significant 
				challenges lie ahead given the prevailing digital divide and 
				unevenness in ICT adoption across industries. 
				
					
				The Political Economy of Education in Myanmar: Recorrecting the 
				Past, Redirecting the Present and Reengaging the Future, 
				September 2022. 
					Myanmar’s education sector has been consistently starved of 
				investments and resources for many decades. Episodes of 
				political turbulence have brought frequent crackdowns on 
				students, with resultant damage to the education system. 
				Myanmar’s 2021 military coup has had dramatic and adverse 
				effects on education at all levels. Parallel educational systems 
				— those of the coup regime, the rival National Unity Government, 
				and ethnic organizations — now operate in Myanmar. The security 
				of everyone involved in Myanmar’s education sector is at risk. 
				As Myanmar moves beyond rentier status, the future of the 
				country’s education sector will depend on forging an education 
				sector compatible with diversity, access to modern technologies, 
				and on educated Myanmar migrants in the diaspora. 
				
					
				Promoting Cross-Border Connectivity in Asia: The Role of the 
				Asian Development Bank, September 2022. 
					Improvements in all forms of connectivity increases a 
				country’s competitiveness by reducing trade costs, which in turn 
				affects trade and investment flows, and economic development. 
				Despite significant progress, gaps in both hard and soft 
				infrastructure remain in Asia. Cross-border connectivity (CBC) 
				projects can generate significant benefits that cannot be 
				realised through national initiatives alone. ADB and other 
				international financial institutions (IFIs) have played a 
				critical role in filling the gap. However, unless capacity 
				utilisation is increased by software related improvements, the 
				borrowings cannot be justified. The digital economy will also 
				require new types of connectivity due to new modes of service 
				delivery, and IFIs must respond. 
				
					
				Determinants of COVID-19 Vaccine Rollouts in Southeast Asia, 
				September 2022. 
					The emergence of the Covid-19 pandemic necessitated the 
				administration of safe and effective vaccines to achieve herd 
				immunity. This paper examines the key determinants of vaccine 
				rollout in Southeast Asia, using a supply and demand model. The 
				supply of vaccines in each country depends on vaccine 
				procurement, state capacity, and the logistics infrastructure 
				while demand is driven by vaccine acceptance. All countries 
				utilized a multiple sourcing strategy for procurement. Digital 
				technology facilitated the roll-out of vaccination and the 
				issuance of digital vaccination certificates. Nevertheless, 
				logistic challenges and vaccine hesitancy continue to dog 
				Indonesia and Philippines, so that both have yet to achieve the 
				WHO targeted 70% vaccination rate by June 2022. Myanmar’s 
				internal problems continue to hold up its vaccination rates. 
				 
				
					
				Examining the Drivers of Changes in Mean Earning and Earning 
				Inequality in Indonesia, August 2022. 
					This paper examines the main drivers behind changes in mean 
				earning and earning inequality in Indonesia between 2001/2 and 
				2018. During this period, there was an increase in workers’ 
				education level, average age, job quality, and mean earnings. As 
				more women participate in the labor market and women earn lower 
				wages than men, higher female labor force participation lowered 
				mean earning. For the overall period, the decline in educational 
				returns at all levels of education contributed negatively to 
				earnings. Gini index increased during this period, driven by 
				education distribution effect and spatial location premium 
				effect... 
				
					
					ASEAN’s 
					Newer Member Countries in Two Financial Crises: Impact, 
					Response and Lessons, April 2022. 
					ASEAN has been through two major financial crises in the 
					last quarter century: the 1997-98 Asian Financial Crisis 
					(AFC) and the 2008-09 Global Financial Crisis (GFC). 
					Although there is a voluminous literature covering the 
					original five members, it has largely ignored the newer 
					members – Brunei Darussalam, Cambodia, Lao PDR, Myanmar and 
					Vietnam (BCLMV). For the first time, a systematic analysis 
					of the experience of the newer members of ASEAN relating to 
					the AFC and the GFC focusing on impact, policy response and 
					lessons is provided. Their participation in regional 
					financial cooperation initiatives in helping prevent or 
					mitigate the impact of future crises, and how these 
					initiatives need to be enhanced to better serve them is also 
					considered. 
				
					
				The WTO’s 2020 Trade Policy Review for Indonesia and Thailand: A 
				Comparative Assessment, November 2021. 
				This paper provides an analytical survey of trade policy in 
				Indonesia and Thailand, in the context of the key findings of 
				the WTO’s 2020 Trade Policy Reviews. These are historically 
				dynamic economies that are integrated within the outward-looking 
				ASEAN protocols and the China-centred East Asian trade and 
				investment networks. Over the past decade, there have been no 
				major changes in the two countries’ trade and commercial policy 
				settings, with Thailand maintaining its more open economic 
				settings and Indonesia continuing its more hesitant embrace of 
				globalization. The major drivers of domestic policy settings 
				have therefore been global factors, including the continuing 
				rise both of China in the regional and global economies and of 
				the increasingly China-centred global supply chains. Both WTO 
				reports provide comprehensive examinations of trade patterns and 
				policies, although there is room to strengthen the analytical 
				foundations of future reports. 
				
					
				How Do Natural Disasters Change Consumption Behaviour? Estimates 
				and Policy Responses from Thailand and the Philippines, 
				September 2021. 
					This study examines the effects of natural disasters on 
				consumption in Thailand and the Philippines, using three large 
				natural disasters for each country. A decline in consumption is 
				observed after natural disaster in Thailand. This decline stems 
				from a reduction in expenditures of the service sector including 
				recreation, restaurants, and hotels, though the decline is 
				partially offset by increased spending on non-durable goods. For 
				the Philippines, declines in overall consumer spending are 
				observed in response to natural disasters with no specific 
				sectoral responses in sample. The policy implications of natural 
				disasters are then discussed in the final part of the paper... 
				
					
				Pandemic Fallout, Disruptive Technologies, and Divergent 
				Demographics: Policy Challenges Facing Countries in the 
				Indo-Pacific, August 2021. 
					New variants of the coronavirus are producing the worst 
				outbreaks in many countries in the Indo-Pacific. Progress with 
				vaccine rollouts has been uneven, further contributing to 
				inequality of outcomes. The pandemic could have lasting effects 
				by reinforcing nationalism, protectionism, and other trends that 
				are already undermining globalisation. The most serious 
				challenge posed by a pandemic induced acceleration towards a 
				digital economy is the disruption to labour markets, made worse 
				by divergent demographic trends in the region. Policies that 
				increase factor mobility can narrow differences in capital-labour 
				ratios and assist in productivity catch-up to promote more 
				inclusive growth. Since commodity movements can substitute for 
				factor movements, regional initiatives that iberalise trade can 
				also reduce adjustment costs. Investing in a skilled and 
				flexible workforce remains the long-term remedy... 
				
					
				Fifty Years of Malaysia’s New Economic Policy: Three Chapters 
				with No Conclusion, July 2021. 
					The New Economic Policy (NEP) which focused on poverty 
				reduction and social restructuring has transformed Malaysia 
				since 1971. Pro-Bumiputera affirmative action was intensively 
				pursued and has continuously faced pushback, with heightened 
				debate at key junctures. The NEP was marred by gaps and 
				omissions, notably its ambiguity on policy mechanisms and 
				long-term implications, and inordinate emphasis on Bumiputera 
				equity ownership. Broader discourses have imbibed these elements 
				and tend to be more selective than systematic in policy 
				critique. During the late 1980s, rousing deliberations on the 
				successor to the NEP settled on a growth-oriented strategy that 
				basically retained the NEP framework and extended 
				ethnicity-driven compromises. Since 2010, notions of reform and 
				alternatives to the NEP’s affirmative action programme have been 
				propagated, which despite bold proclamations, again amount to 
				partial and selective – not comprehensive – change. Affirmative 
				action presently drifts along, with minor modifications and 
				incoherent reform rhetoric stemming from conflation of the NEP’s 
				two prongs... 
				
					
				Global Supply Chains and the Regional Comprehensive Economic 
				Partnership: Who Benefits? June 2021. 
					The recently signed Regional Comprehensive Economic 
				Partnership (RCEP) promises to expand trade substantially for 
				the 15 participating countries. This study unpacks the 
				differential benefits of free trade agreements by drawing on 
				insights from the emerging research program on the politics of 
				global production networks and value chains. A firm’s ability to 
				benefit from trade agreements is a function of the firm’s degree 
				of supply chain linkages with partner countries. Leveraging on 
				an original survey of more than 500 firms in China, the 
				empirical analyses show that the more backward and forward 
				supply chain linkages with RCEP countries a firm has, the more 
				likely it is going to anticipate positive impact from the RCEP. 
				Furthermore, these results hold even among exporters. These 
				findings enrich our understanding on the political economy of 
				preferential trade liberalization and global supply chains and 
				offer policy suggestions for member countries hoping to maximize 
				benefits for their businesses from the largest trade agreement 
				in the world today... 
				
					
				Growth Resilience to Large External Shocks in Emerging Asia: 
				Measuring Impact of Natural Disasters and Implications for 
				COVID-19, May 2021. 
					This study examines the extent to which Emerging Asian 
				countries show resilience to large external shocks. Its main 
				objective is to estimate the impact of large-scale natural 
				disasters (LNDs). Recent large-scale natural disasters (LNDs) in 
				four Emerging Asian countries: China, India, Indonesia and the 
				Philippines are examined. LNDs have a large negative impact on 
				GDP growth in India, Thailand and the Philippines, although the 
				speed at which the impact wanes differs, with a more persistent 
				impact in the Philippines. Growth resilience to large external 
				shocks will be determined by economic systems and policy 
				considerations. These analyses will provide a useful reference 
				to consider the impact of COVID-19 pandemic. 
				
					
				The Impact of the Rise in Chinese Imports on Firms’ Performance: 
				A Case Study on Manufacturing Firms in Thailand and the 
				Philippines, April 2021. The rapid 
				rise of Chinese trade in the world today warrants an examination 
				of its effects on firms’ performance. Using firm level data from 
				Thailand and the Philippines, this study analyses the impact of 
				an increase in Chinese import shares on the firms’ 
				profitability, sales, costs, innovative activity and labour 
				productivity. The results revealed a negative impact on the 
				firms’ profitability, sales and costs. Additionally, labour 
				productivity in terms of added value per cost of worker 
				increased with higher import share. The impact on manufacturing 
				firms alone was similar, except for a positive impact on 
				productivity in terms of both added value and sales... 
				
				
				Global Trends and Malaysia’s Automotive Sector: Ambitions vs. 
				Reality, March 2021. The paper seeks to examine the 
				development of the Malaysian automotive sector in the midst of 
				rapid global changes in technology, consumer preferences and 
				sustainability concerns. The sector represents a case of infant 
				industry protection which includes, among its objectives, the 
				state’s aspiration to nurture Bumiputera entrepreneurs as 
				national champions for the sector. Despite close to three 
				decades of protection, the two national car projects continue to 
				depend on foreign partners for technology support. The National 
				Automotive Policies (NAPs) strive to push the sector towards the 
				technology frontier with foreign and domestic investments while 
				seeking to be a regional hub and grooming national Bumiputera 
				champions... 
				
				
				Using Regionalism for Globalisation: The ASEAN Way, February 
				2021. In assessing regionalism, it has become customary 
				to look to the European experience to serve as a benchmark 
				against which all other regional integration programs are 
				judged. But ASEAN is different. Compared to Europe, it is 
				outward- rather than inward-looking, market rather than 
				government driven, and institution light rather than heavy. 
				These differences reflect the very different motivations and 
				objectives of the two regional programs. ASEAN’s success lies in 
				its almost unique achievement of using regionalism for 
				globalisation. The metrics that we use to assess regionalism 
				must reflect true objectives, even if they lie below the 
				surface. Widely used indicators such as shares of intra-regional 
				trade and investment not only fail to capture the real story, 
				but they can point in the wrong direction. 
				
				
				The Prospects and Dangers of Algorithmic Credit Scoring in 
				Vietnam: Regulating a Legal Blindspot, January 2021. Artificial 
				intelligence (AI) and big data are transforming the credit 
				market in Vietnam. Lenders increasingly use ‘algorithmic credit 
				scoring’ to assess borrowers’ creditworthiness or likelihood and 
				willingness to repay loan. This technology gleans 
				non-traditional data from smartphones and analyses them through 
				machine learning algorithms. Algorithmic credit scoring promises 
				greater efficiency, accuracy, cost-effectiveness, and speed in 
				predicting risk compared to traditional credit scoring systems 
				that are based on economic data and human discretion... 
				
				
				GVCs and Premature Deindustrialization in Malaysia, December 
				2020. Malaysia has experienced premature 
				deindustrialization since the early 1990s. The decline in the 
				relative contribution of manufacturing to the economy has been 
				underpinned by changes in the key component industries of the 
				electronic, electrical and machinery industries. The relative 
				decline in manufacturing has also been accompanied by a decline 
				in the country’s participation in global value chains (GVCs). 
				This is particularly true for backward GVC participation. 
				Macro-level evidence suggests that the decline in export growth 
				is likely amplified by reductions in the foreign value added in 
				the manufacturing sector. Micro-level evidence points to 
				weaknesses in terms of human capital and technology. 
				
				
				The BRI in Malaysia’s Port Sector: Drivers of Success and 
				Failure. November 2020. The Belt and Road Initiative (BRI) 
				has been characterised as a large-scale initiative to boost the 
				movement of goods and services, capital, and people from China 
				to Southeast Asia and beyond. Transport and logistics are a key 
				aspect of this enterprise, with many projects focusing on 
				railways, road networks, and ports receiving priority attention. 
				However, BRI-related initiatives are often cast in binary terms, 
				with agency and autonomy almost uniquely ascribed to China-based 
				firms and funders, and very little attributed to host country 
				agents or their interests. Since 2013, Malaysia has received 
				substantial inflows of BRI-related funds for infrastructure, 
				particularly railways and ports... 
				
				
				The Vulnerability of Jobs to COVID-19: The Case of Malaysia, 
				November 2020. Malaysia’s economy has been adversely 
				affected by COVID-19 and the subsequent mobility restrictions 
				implemented to flatten the curve of the pandemic. This study 
				estimates the extent and distribution of jobs most vulnerable to 
				COVID-19. It finds that about 64.5 percent of jobs in Malaysia 
				cannot be performed from home, after adjusting for internet 
				access while about 50.9 percent of jobs require high levels of 
				physical proximity. These jobs are those that are most 
				vulnerable to COVID-19, particularly if strict mobility 
				restrictions are reinstated. Workers most at risk are primarily 
				those that were already vulnerable before the crisis due to 
				their relatively low education, low level of income and advanced 
				or very young age. Jobs in less developed regions of Malaysia 
				are also particularly vulnerable. Against this backdrop, the 
				study argues that proactive social protection and jobs policies 
				are needed to mitigate the employment impacts of COVID-19 in 
				Malaysia... 
				
				
				Chinese Investments in Industrial Parks: Indonesia and Malaysia 
				Compared, September 2020. Indonesia and Malaysia are 
				keen to use Chinese investments in industrial parks to foster 
				industrial development in their respective countries. This paper 
				seeks to compare Chinese investments in two industrial parks. 
				Specifically, it analyses changes made in the investment climate 
				in each country to facilitate inflows of Chinese investments for 
				the development of the Indonesian-Morowali Industrial Park (IMIP) 
				and the Malaysia-China Industrial Park (MCKIP). Investment 
				climate refers to the FDI institutions in a country that are 
				used for facilitating foreign investments. For Chinese 
				investments in industrial parks, a pertinent question to ask is 
				whether these investments are privileged in terms of FDI 
				institutional arrangements and their differences from the 
				existing investment institutional arrangements in a country. The 
				paper finds that Indonesia and Malaysia made special 
				arrangements to facilitate Chinese investments in the two parks 
				although differences also abound in the way FDI is facilitated. 
				
				
				COVID-19 and the Poor, September 2020, September 2020. COVID-19 
				not only highlights existing inequalities, it exacerbates them. 
				Not only do the poor have higher COVID-19 infection and 
				mortality rates, they suffer disproportionately from curtailment 
				measures. As governments try and flatten the infection curve, 
				the misery curve measuring the loss of incomes, livelihoods and 
				lives has been rising. These costs tend to accelerate the longer 
				the lockdown is in place, contributing to an increase in 
				violations that can reduce the effectiveness of the measure 
				itself. In countries without broad-based safety nets, it is no 
				longer a choice between lives and livelihoods because they are 
				the same for the poor. While developed nations debate the 
				trade-off between saving lives and destroying livelihoods, poor 
				countries must consider the trade-off between lives lost through 
				destroyed livelihoods and lives lost to the virus. These ground 
				realities suggest that targeted, time-bound measures rather than 
				prolonged general lockdowns should be considered in poor 
				countries, should infections start rising, while increasing 
				targeted testing. 
				
				
				The Landscape of Pricing and Algorithmic Pricing, August 2020. Algorithmic 
				pricing is the practice of setting prices using computer 
				programs. Understanding the foundations of pricing practices is 
				fundamental to an assessment of the nature and potential of 
				algorithmic pricing. Prices can be set in a number of ways and 
				the practice of price setting has been examined from different 
				and sometimes overlapping disciplinary perspectives – economics, 
				marketing and operations research. The three key activities in 
				price setting are data collection, demand analysis and 
				optimization. Computer algorithms are used in these activities 
				but they may not be fully integrated in practice. The 
				organizational adoption of algorithmic pricing may assume 
				different forms depending on the cost-benefit calculus across 
				different components of price-setting activities... 
				
				
				Changes in the Demographic Structure and Economic Growth, July 
				2020. The population of East and Southeast Asia has 
				been ageing rapidly and will begin to decline ahead of other 
				regions by 2040. By 2060, the elderly will comprise 40% of their 
				total population, thus making them ‘super-aged’ societies. These 
				regions are undergoing major demographic structure changes due 
				to a rapid decline in birth rate and extension of life 
				expectancy. While increased life expectancy and a lower 
				percentage of youth population will have a positive impact on 
				the economic growth in the short and long terms, a higher 
				percentage of older people will have a negative impact in the 
				long term. Additionally, growth in the labour force has a 
				positive impact on the short-term and long-term economic growth. 
				While ageing population will slow down economic growth in the 
				long term, it is possible that this decline could be balanced by 
				a higher labour force growth rate. Surviving in a super-aged 
				society requires policies that proactively enhance economic 
				growth... 
				
				
				When Does Trade Reduce Poverty? Revisiting the Evidence for East 
				Asia, June 2020. East Asia’s openness to trade is often 
				credited as one of the main drivers behind the region’s 
				impressive gains in economic growth and poverty reduction. In 
				this paper, we examine the literature to determine whether there 
				is a sound theoretical and empirical basis for this presumed 
				relationship between trade and poverty reduction. Like many 
				other studies on this topic, we find that the linkages are not 
				automatic; the impact of trade on poverty is highly 
				context-specific, and many factors come into play. Complementary 
				policies are necessary to maximise trade’s potential impact on 
				poverty reduction. We also explore the role of Aid-for-Trade in 
				addressing specific trade-related capacity constraints which 
				prevent developing countries from maximising the benefits from 
				trade. 
				
				
				Economic Corridors in Southeast Asia: Success Factors, Impacts 
				and Policy, May 2020. Economic corridors have gained 
				popularity as a potentially important instrument in the 
				development and transformation of low and middle income 
				economies. But why have some countries had more success with 
				them than others? What role does governance, institutions, 
				finance and policy frameworks play in determining their success? 
				How can we measure their impacts? We try and answer these 
				questions by looking closely at, and drawing lessons from, two 
				case studies of successful corridors in Asia – Malaysia and 
				Thailand. A key conclusion is that economic corridors are more 
				likely to succeed with greater domestic spillovers when the 
				physical and policy infrastructure are conducive.  
				
				
				Industry 4.0 Policies in Thailand, February 2020. The 
				Thai government has implemented a number of policies to harness 
				the potential of the fourth industrial revolution (Industry 
				4.0). These policies can be categorized into three broad 
				categories, namely, digital infrastructure, skill formation, and 
				target industries. As is often observed for other policies in 
				Thailand, the policy coverage for Industry 4.0 is too broad. 
				Many aspects are included without a clear prioritisation. There 
				is no effective mechanism to assess these policies and their 
				implementation largely depends on government agencies’ 
				preferences. The existing assessment mechanism induces these 
				agencies to undertake easy-to-achieve activities such as 
				training... 
				
				
				Determinants of E-Commerce Adoption and Utilisation by SMEs in 
				Thailand, January 2020. This study empirically investigates 
				the factors and barriers which hinder e-commerce adoption and 
				utilisation levels by Thai SMEs in the food and beverage and 
				retail industries. Older SMEs are likely to have lower levels of 
				e-commerce utilisation. Larger SMEs are more likely to adopt 
				e-commerce. Social media and website are significantly drivers 
				of e-commerce utilisation levels. Food delivery platforms are 
				crucial in enhancing higher e-commerce utilisation levels in the 
				food and beverage industry. Smartphones are found to be a 
				cost-effective tools for e-commerce transactions. The most 
				significant barriers which can hinder the e-commerce adoption 
				are customers’ knowledge of e-commerce and internet security... 
				
				
				Economic Reforms in the Aftermath of Regime Change in Malaysia, 
				October 2019. The 14th General Election in May 2018 brought 
				about an unexpected change in political rule in Malaysia for the 
				first time since the country’s independence in 1957. In its 
				first year of rule, the new Pakatan Harapan-led government 
				implemented several populist economic policies that were drawn 
				from its election manifesto. While these policies may have 
				moderated populist politics to some extent, they have also 
				weakened the government’s fiscal capacity. Ethnic fragmentation 
				and a strengthened opposition alliance have also made it 
				difficult for the new government to implement its ambitious 
				institutional reform agenda. The new government needs to 
				formulate and implement a new growth strategy that overcomes 
				some of the existing structural weakness of the economy... 
				
				
				Agglomeration, Human Capital and Foreign Labour: The Case of 
				Malaysia, September 2019. Trade, FDI and foreign labour have 
				been key factors in the growth and transformation of Malaysia. 
				The deindustrialization of the Malaysian economy has been 
				attributed by some to the excessive dependence on the relatively 
				low-skilled foreign labour in the country. This study finds that 
				there is some evidence that foreign labour weakens the 
				relationship between labour productivity and agglomeration. This 
				is likely to take place through the weakening of human 
				capital-effects by low-skilled foreign labour. Policies aimed at 
				managing foreign labour need to take into account geographical 
				agglomeration effects... 
				
				
				Firm Performance and Structural Change: The Case of Thailand, 
				August 2019. A key aspect of the development process is 
				structural change. For most countries, this takes the form of a 
				decline in the contribution of the agriculture sector in the 
				economy accompanied by the rise of the shares of manufacturing 
				and services. The theories and empirics of structural change 
				have mostly focused on economy-wide and sectoral-level analysis. 
				There is a scarcity of studies on the microeconomics of 
				structural change due to the lack of long-term panel data at the 
				firm level. This study undertakes a microeconometric analysis of 
				structural change by studying how firm-level performance as 
				defined by ROA and ROE is affected by structural change in the 
				Thai economy. A key finding of this study is that trends in the 
				financial performance of firms provide a useful perspective of 
				the micro-level impact of structural change in the economy. 
				
				
				The Leniency Programme in Malaysia’s Competition Regime: A 
				Critical Evaluation, July 2019. Malaysia’s competition 
				law came into force in January 2012. Detailed guidelines on a 
				leniency programme were published in October 2014. Despite the 
				leniency programme being designed based on best-practices found 
				in more mature competition regimes and ICN, it has been under-utilised 
				in the cartel cases investigated in Malaysia. This under-utilisation 
				of the programme could be due to the enforcement agency having 
				too much discretionary
				powers. Another reason could be the lack of immunization from 
				civil proceedings. De-facto government oversight and spillover 
				from deterioration in the country’s state of governance in the 
				past could also have affected the public’s perception of 
				quasi-independent commissions. This is reflected in the 
				perceptions of the business community on courts and corruption 
				in the country. 
				
				
				Smallholders and the Making of Malaysia’s Oil Palm Industry, 
				June 2019. As part of efforts to curb the oil palm 
				industry’s harmful socio-environmental impacts in Southeast 
				Asia, scholars and policymakers have been showing more interest 
				in independent smallholder farming arrangements. Smallholders, 
				however, continue to encounter significant barriers to entry. 
				Focusing on Southeast Asia, scholars have often claimed that oil 
				palms are naturally endowed with processing cost economies 
				favoring large-scale production arrangements. With their limited 
				access to capital, technology, and skills, smallholders are 
				disadvantaged relative to estates. The history of Peninsular 
				Malaysia, with particular reference to Johor, suggests a 
				different argument... 
				
				
				The Game of Go: Bounded Rationality and Artificial Intelligence, 
				May 2019. The goal of this essay is to examine the 
				nature and relationship between bounded rationality and 
				artificial intelligence (AI) in the context of recent 
				developments in the application of AI to two-player zero sum 
				games with perfect information such as Go. This is undertaken by 
				examining the evolution of AI programs for playing Go. Given 
				that bounded rationality is inextricably linked to the nature of 
				the problem to be solved, the complexity of Go is examined using 
				cellular automata (CA). 
				
				
				US-China Trade War: Potential Trade and Investment Spill-overs 
				into Malaysia, May 2019. The trade conflict between the 
				US and China has the potential to affect Malaysia’s trade with 
				both countries as both are important trading partners. The 
				imposition of safeguard tariffs by the US will affect Malaysia’s 
				solar exports to the US though its exact impact is unclear due 
				to the complicated implementation of this tariff. The tariffs 
				imposed on China raises the possibility of trade and investment 
				diversion to Malaysia. Re-exports play an important role in 
				Malaysia’s export adjustments to the US and China from 2017 to 
				2018. The possibility of investment diversion from China is high 
				given the growing presence of China’s investment in Malaysia 
				since the announcement of the Belt and Road Initiative (BRI). 
				
				
				Manufacturing Performance and Services Inputs: Evidence from 
				Malaysia, February 2019. The Malaysian economy has been 
				deindustrializing since the late 1990s. The relative decline of 
				the country’s export-oriented manufacturing sector has led to a 
				decline in the trade ratio. This could reflect a decline in the 
				country’s participation in manufacturing global value chains. 
				The services sector makes important contributions to the 
				performance of the manufacturing 
				sector in terms of productivity and exporting. Therefore, any 
				policy attempt to enhance manufacturing performance is likely to 
				require improvements in the performance of the services sector. 
				This is particularly important as there is evidence that the 
				country’s manufacturing sector is increasingly dependent on 
				services generated domestically. 
				
				
				Economic Voting and the End of Dominant Party Rule in Malaysia, 
				February 2019. This essay seeks to empirically examine 
				economic and non-economic factors that determined the outcomes 
				of the fourteenth general election in Malaysia. In the election, 
				the incumbent coalition Barisan Nasional (BN) which had ruled 
				the country since its independence in 1957 was defeated. 
				Relatively robust economic growth in months prior to the 
				elections failed to bolster voter support for the incumbent 
				coalition. Unemployment and inequality further eroded voter 
				support for BN. The election also saw a decline in the support 
				of the Bumiputra community and East Malaysian voters for BN. A 
				key factor in the end of BN rule was the defections of elite 
				politicians from UMNO. Mahathir Mohamad, a former Prime Minister 
				and UMNO President, together with other former UMNO stalwarts 
				joined the opposition coalition and mobilized voters against BN. 
				
				
				Batam: Life after the FTZ? October 2018. Once an island 
				of high-tech production and turbo-charged growth, Batam’s 
				economic fortunes have
				waned of late. The traditional pillars of the manufacturing 
				sector have contracted, investment levels have fallen, the 
				island’s growth rate is below the national average, and 
				unemployment has increased sharply. In response, policy-makers 
				are promoting the development of new sectors to diversify the 
				island’s economic base. There are debates on whether Batam’s 
				status should be changed from a Free Trade Zone (FTZ) to a 
				Special Economic Zone (SEZ) to draw in more investment. This 
				paper aims to contribute to the debates on how to revitalize the 
				island’s economy... 
				
				
				Education in Malaysia Towards a Developed Nation, September 2018
				. Education plays a key role in realising Malaysia’s 
				aspirations to be a developed nation. This paper provides a 
				critical assessment of the state of education in Malaysia. The 
				issues that will be discussed in this paper includes the 
				country’s current ethos and philosophy of education, technical 
				and vocational education (TVET), technology and flexible 
				learning, and governance and financing of higher education. The 
				paper also highlights critical omissions in the current Eleventh 
				Malaysia Plan. 
				
				
				SME Policies and Performance in Malaysia, July 2018 This 
				study aims to achieve two major objectives. First, to assess 
				policies and initiatives implemented for the development of 
				small and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs) in Malaysia from the 
				Eighth Malaysia Plan (2001-2005) to the Eleventh Malaysia Plan 
				(2016-2020) as well as the SME Masterplan (2012-2020). Second, 
				to analyze the performances and
				contributions of SMEs in Malaysia. The study provides a critical 
				analysis of the adequacy of the Eleventh Malaysia Plan for SME 
				development including whether the targeted goals for SMEs 
				towards 2020 can be achieved. A key highlight of the analysis is 
				the redefinition of SMEs which has greatly affected several 
				indicators that are relevant to the measurement of the 
				achievement of targeted goals. The study utilizes content 
				analysis and the notion of embeddedness to examine the contents 
				of published government reports on the topic of SMEs development 
				and their way forward. 
				
				
				Territorial Complementarities and Competition for Oil and Gas 
				FDI in the SIJORI Growth Triangle, May 2018. After the 
				initial euphoria, the SIJORI Triangle - formed by Singapore, 
				Johor (Malaysia) and Riau Islands (Indonesia) - seems to have 
				been completely forgotten. The growth triangle concept was 
				initiated to enhance foreign investment. This paper aims to 
				explore whether firms in the oil and gas industry are really 
				strategically making use of the different factor endowments 
				accessible in close spatial proximity. Based on FDI data and 
				expert interviews, Singaporean firms are taking strategic 
				advantage of the different factor endowments, especially in 
				storage and offshore equipment manufacturing. However, Johor and 
				Riau Islands still focus on lower value-added activities... 
				
				
				Services Liberalization and Export Quality: Evidence from China, 
				March 2018. Using firm-level export data from China, 
				this paper empirically examines the effect of domestic 
				liberalization of services on exporting firms’ quality 
				upgrading. We examine a number of other trade policies, 
				including: tariffs in export destination countries; and input- 
				and output-tariffs in China. Following China’s accession to the 
				World Trade Organization in December 2001, these trade policies 
				changed substantially during our sample period of 2000 - 2006. 
				Our findings suggest that, of all the policies, reduced input 
				tariffs contributed the most to raising export product quality. 
				Easing of services’ restrictiveness also resulted in improved 
				export product quality, but mainly for foreign owned 
				enterprises. 
				
				
				Industry Dynamics in Growth Triangles: The E&E Industry in 
				SIJORI 25 Years On, November 2017. The SIJORI Growth 
				Triangle, which encompasses Singapore, Johor (Malaysia) and 
				Batam Island (Indonesia), was launched in 1989 as a ‘single 
				investment destination’ offering differing factor endowments in 
				close proximity. Singapore was the ‘core’ of the region with 
				Johor and Batam occupying the land, labour, and 
				resource-intensive ‘non-core’ spaces. During the 1990s, 
				investment flows into the three territories, particularly in the 
				electrical and electronics (E&E) industry, mirrored this 
				division of labour... 
				
				The 
				Trans-Pacific Partnership: Origin, Evolution, Special Features, 
				and Economic Implications, October 2017. The 
				Trans-Pacific Partnership (TPP) agreement was signed by its 12 
				members in February 2016 after concluding its difficult and long 
				negotiations. The TPP is an ambitious agreement with high-level 
				of trade and investment liberalization and comprehensive issue 
				coverage, setting a new standard for global trade. Large 
				economic benefits can be expected from the enactment of the TPP. 
				The ratification of the TPP in its agreed form is not possible 
				because of the withdrawal of the US from the TPP. The paper 
				argues that the TPP without the US, or TPP11, should be pursued 
				by remaining 11 members, to keep the momentum toward trade and 
				investment liberalization and to fight against growing 
				protectionism. 
				
				
				Mind the Gap: Explaining Implementation Shortfalls in the ASEAN 
				Economic Community, September 2017. The ASEAN Economic 
				Community (AEC) is at a critical crossroad in terms of policy 
				implementation. ASEAN announced of a significant achievement 
				rate of 93 per cent at the end of 2015. However, effective 
				implementation, described as policy execution that generated 
				tangible benefits for the end-users in their cross-border 
				activities remained patchy. Following the theoretical discussion 
				on policy implementation, this paper postulates that it was the 
				economic conflicts between countries and between firms of a 
				country that led to a broad and accommodative regional policy 
				document, thereby affecting the course of implementation. As 
				implementation is a national issue, organisational conflicts 
				between government agencies and bureaucrats further distorted 
				the final outcome, and hindered progress towards meaningful 
				implementation. 
				
				The 
				TPP: Truths about Power Politics, August 2017. Preferential 
				trade agreements are negotiated by states. By definition, they 
				are political in nature. The more powerful the state involved, 
				the more it can shape the trajectory of trade negotiations. The 
				three stages of the TPP – before the US joined, while the US was 
				a TPP member, and the US withdrawal from TPP – reaffirm this 
				political-economic truth. Political interests often trump 
				economic ones when it comes to trade agreements. This paper 
				analyses the three stages of the TPP using the tools of 
				International Relations. It highlights key political truths that 
				are reaffirmed by each TPP stage... 
				
				
				Dynamics of Ride Sharing Competition, July 2017. This 
				paper studies the dynamics of ride-sharing competition. 
				Ride-sharing is modelled as a spatial two-sided market with 
				heterogeneous passengers and drivers, both located on a Salop 
				(1979) circle. The model is simulated to study four aspects of 
				ride-sharing competition:(i) price distribution and dynamics, 
				(ii) strategic pricing, (iii) fixed pricing vs. surge pricing, 
				and (iv) information-sharing. Dynamic platform competition in a 
				spatial setting can generate distinct and persistent bands of 
				fluctuating prices. Space and stochastic luck can mitigate 
				winner-take-all effects in price competition... 
				
				
				Impact of TPP-11 on Japanese Manufacturing Affiliates in ASEAN, 
				July 2017. This paper discusses how tariff reductions 
				through TPP may affect Japanese manufacturing affiliates in 
				ASEAN countries. Without the U.S., there is some uncertainty in 
				the impact of TPP on the investment and expansion plans of 
				Japanese affiliates in Malaysia and Vietnam’s textile and 
				footwear industries. Similarly, it is also uncertain that 
				Japanese affiliates in ASEAN non-TPP member countries will 
				shrink their business in these industries. In the case of other 
				industries, the TPP-11 will not affect Japanese affiliates 
				because market access will not be different between TPP and non-TPP 
				member countries. 
				
				
				Should Thailand Join the TPP? July 2017. This paper 
				reviews the potential gains and losses for Thailand if the 
				country joins the Trans-Pacific Partnership (TPP). Had the 
				United States remained a member of TPP, the preferential market 
				access to the country would be a major source of gains. However, 
				the intellectual property right (IPRs) provisions in the TPP may 
				have adverse impact on pharmaceutical expenditure in Thailand. 
				While there are other issues covered in TPP, these are likely to 
				be either non-binding constraints (e.g. investment agreement) or 
				having effects that are difficult to be quantified across time 
				and space (e.g. government procurement, environmental 
				agreement). While there is belief that the TPP and cumulative 
				ROO in particular could alter supply chain of production 
				network, this is unlikely to occur due to a number of exceptions 
				in the TPP itself. 
				
				The 
				Investment Chapter and ISDS in the TPP: Lessons from Southeast 
				Asia, April 2017. The investment chapter and 
				investor-state dispute settlement provisions in the 
				Trans-Pacific Partnership attracted significant media and public 
				attention. This paper shows that ISDS-backed investment treaty 
				commitments, aimed to liberalising and protecting FDI, are 
				already widespread across Southeast Asian countries. However, 
				these countries have been subjected to comparatively few ISDS 
				claims and (very recently) two adverse treaty-based arbitration 
				awards. Meanwhile, investors from Malaysia and Singapore have 
				initiated claims. This backdrop partly explains not only why 
				those two states and the other existing TPP signatories (Vietnam 
				and Brunei) were willing to agree to ISDS-backed commitments in 
				that FTA. It also makes it quite likely that ISDS provisions are 
				not likely to become deal breakers for countries such as 
				Thailand, the Philippines and even Indonesia in future trade 
				agreements... 
				
				
				Labour Provisions in Trade Agreements with Developing Economies: 
				The Case of TPPA and ASEAN Member Countries, March 2017. Labour 
				provisions have been increasingly included in bilateral and 
				regional trade arrangements. One recent example was the 
				Trans-Pacific Partnership Agreement (TPPA), signed by twelve 
				countries in 2016 but abandoned by the US in early 2017. Even 
				though the ratification of the TPPA remains uncertain, it has 
				set a precedent in trade policy. This is likely to influence the 
				formulation of trade agreements involving ASEAN countries in the 
				future. This paper examines the implications of the TPPA labour 
				chapter in the context of ASEAN countries that have participated 
				in the agreement. It discusses the extent these countries need 
				to undertake domestic reforms in terms of labour rights and 
				standards. 
				
				
				Evolving Paradigms in Regional Development in Malaysia, October 
				2016. In seeking to foster economic growth, 
				policy-makers in Malaysia have also had to grapple conceptually 
				and operationally with how best to deal with differing income 
				levels in different parts of the country. In addition, this 
				challenge has changed in nature over time, in line with the 
				country’s increasing wealth and urbanization, and as 
				understandings of what regional development is and how it should 
				be pursued have evolved. Over the decades, approaches have 
				shifted away from a sole focus on rural development and an 
				aspatial approach to regional development towards a greater 
				emphasis on urbanization and a deeper understanding of the 
				relationship between location and economic growth... 
				
				
				The Impact of Local Content Requirements on the Indonesian 
				Manufacturing Industry, October 2016. Local content 
				requirements (LCRs) are prohibited under the WTO law as they 
				violate several WTO provisions including the national treatment 
				principle. Nonetheless, many countries, including Indonesia, 
				persistently use LCRs as part of their industrial policies. 
				Countries implement LCRs for various reasons, including to 
				protect local industries; to create employment; to boost export; 
				to enhance local innovation capacity; and to support broader 
				economic development in the country. This paper examines the 
				impact of LCRs in manufacturing sector in Indonesia, with a 
				particular interest on the machinery and transport industries. 
				Since LCRs discourage foreign imports, hence it is expected they 
				may affect firm’s use of imported inputs... 
				
				
				Reassessing Malaysia’s Export Opportunities in the TPP, 
				September 2016. The main economic motivation for 
				forging bilateral, regional and multilateral agreements for 
				Malaysia is to enhance the export opportunities for its firms as 
				it is relatively dependent on trade for supporting growth. There 
				is an extensive literature on the Trans-Pacific Partnership (TPP) 
				since negotiations were started five years ago and this 
				literature continues to grow after the agreement was signed in 
				February 2016. The literature identifies some overall gains for 
				Malaysia and some sectoral gains, especially in textiles and 
				apparel. The objective of this paper is to re-assess these 
				export opportunities, using a comparative country perspective 
				since the TPP has 12 founding members... 
				
				
				Determinants of Singapore’s Outward FDI, February 2016. Outward 
				foreign direct investment (OFDI) has been an important element 
				in Singapore’s economic strategy since the 1990s, with the 
				government providing direct and indirect support to support the 
				internationalization process. Recent OFDI trends indicate that 
				China has become an important destination for Singapore. In 
				ASEAN, Singapore’s main investment markets are Indonesia, 
				Malaysia and Thailand. The Singapore’s OFDI has important 
				sectoral dimensions, supported by evidence from econometric 
				analysis. It is also important to distinguish between OFDI stock 
				and flows. Further research is needed to understand the erratic 
				behavior of flows in the region. 
				
				
				A Review of the Recent Literature on the Institutional Economics 
				Analysis of the Long-Run Performance of Nations, January 2016. This 
				paper reviews the recent (post-2000) literature which assesses 
				the importance of institutions as a factor determining 
				cross-country differences in growth rates or in the contemporary 
				level of “prosperity”. It first sketches how institutional 
				economics has evolved. It then examines critically the methods 
				of analysis employed in the recent literature. The paper finds 
				that this literature has made a major contribution to the 
				analysis of the causes of economic growth but the relative 
				importance of institutions as a determinant of long-run growth 
				and prosperity is still a wide open question. 
				
				
				What Lies Ahead for Malaysian Healthcare? December 2015. Healthcare 
				in Malaysia has been characterised by a strong public sector 
				presence where government hospitals and clinics acted as a 
				primary source of care. The healthcare system has also been 
				lauded as a model for other developing countries to follow as it 
				has succeeded in improving the health status of Malaysians over 
				time. With the rising costs of healthcare over the last three 
				decades, the government is now facing increasing pressures to 
				restructure its healthcare system. Social healthcare insurance, 
				corporatisation, and privatisation have been increasingly seen 
				as possible measures to supplement the current healthcare system 
				dominated by the public sector... 
				
				
				Malaysia’s Protracted Affirmative Action Policy and the Evolving 
				Bumiputera Commercial and Industrial Community, December 2015. This 
				paper examines the evolution of the Bumiputera Commercial and 
				Industrial Community (BCIC) in the context of Malaysia’s 
				protracted affirmative action from 1971 to the present. It 
				explores, on one hand, how the state has responded to the 
				demands of different Malay pressure groups and, on the other, to 
				external shocks arising from economic globalization. These 
				external factors have compelled the state to deregulate and 
				liberalize its economic policies which run contrary to the goal 
				of promoting the development of a BCIC... 
				
				(De)centralization 
				and the Missing Middle in Indonesia and Malaysia, September 2015. Indonesia 
				and Malaysia were both initially characterized by a powerful, 
				centralized state apparatus and “soft authoritarianism”. 
				Following the Asian Financial Crisis, they have had very 
				different trajectories. In tandem with a transformative 
				political liberalization process, Indonesia has implemented 
				far-reaching decentralization reforms. Malaysia’s political 
				context has remained relatively static, and it has proceeded to 
				centralize important aspects of governance. Notwithstanding this 
				initial difference, both cases display a notable similarity – 
				the re-scaling of state power has occurred at the expense of the 
				meso-level – provinces in Indonesia and states in Malaysia... 
				
				
				
				AEC Vision Post-2015: Is an ASEAN Customs Union Feasible? 
				February 2015. This paper explores the feasibility of 
				the ASEAN Economic Community (AEC) moving forward to the next 
				step of economic integration, i.e. towards an ASEAN Customs 
				Union (ACU) post-2015. Effectively, the way to progress towards 
				an ASEAN custom Union is by forming it among ASEAN-9 members 
				with Singapore maintaining its existing zero tariff against 
				non-members, thereby creating a Partial ACU. Using applied 
				general equilibrium modelling exercise based on GTAP, the 
				findings suggest that there are potential net positive welfare 
				gains to be collectively reaped by ASEAN if it moves from an 
				AFTA to a partial ACU post-2015. However, not all ASEAN members 
				will individually gain from such an ACU and members may need to 
				potentially devise a mechanism wherein some member country 
				welfare losses in an ACU can be compensated by the members who 
				gain... 
				
				
				The Regional Comprehensive Economic Partnership: New Paradigm or 
				Old Wine in a New Bottle? November 2014. ASEAN is 
				currently negotiating the Regional Comprehensive Economic 
				Partnership (RCEP) agreement with its six trading partners. The 
				RCEP has the potential to expand into a Free Trade Agreement of 
				the Asia-Pacific (FTAAP) as it intends to harmonise rules and 
				regulations across multiple overlapping trade agreements in the 
				region. However, it faces challenges. The mention of a 
				flexibility principle and the “ASEAN Way” of decision-making has 
				led many to believe that the RCEP will be yet another 
				low-quality trade agreement in the region. As such, the RCEP 
				presents all ASEAN members an opportunity to take a central role 
				in setting the agenda for a region-wide agreement. Hence, ASEAN 
				must make efforts to attain an attractive RCEP vis-a-vis other 
				competing regional agreements. Accordingly, this paper 
				highlights what the RCEP is, how it has emerged and the issues 
				that might affect the agreement’s final quality in order to 
				evaluate it as a new paradigm or a repackaged version of ASEAN’s 
				existing trade agreements.  
				
				
				The Evolution of the Electronics Industry in the SIJORI Cross 
				Border Region, September 2014. In the early 1990s, 
				Singapore, the Malaysian state of Johor, and the Indonesian 
				island of Batam sought to leverage their proximity, differing 
				comparative advantages, and good logistics connections to market 
				themselves as an integrated unit. After an initial phase of 
				enthusiasm and considerable investment from electronics 
				multinationals, attention regarding the cross-border region 
				waned in the wake of the Asian Financial Crisis. Using data from 
				investment authorities in Indonesia and Malaysia, as well as a 
				number of firm interviews, this paper traces the evolution and 
				current status of the electronics industry in Batam and Johor. 
				
				
				The Exporting and Productivity Nexus: Does Firm Size Matter? 
				August 2014. The main purpose of this study is to 
				examine whether the relationship between exporting and 
				productivity differs across firm sizes in the Malaysian 
				manufacturing sector. A firm-level panel data from the Study on 
				Knowledge Content in Economic Sectors in Malaysia (MyKE) is used 
				in the study. Overall, exporters were found to be more 
				productive than non-exporters. This productivity gap becomes 
				less important as firms become larger. There is evidence that 
				the selection process for exporting is binding only for small 
				firms. Policies that are meant to encourage small firms to 
				export need to focus on enhancing human capital and foreign 
				ownership. 
				
				 
				
				 
				
				 1(2005): Rahul 
				Sen, 
				
				
				Enhancing 
				Bilateral Economic Linkages Through New Regionalism: The Case of 
				thge Agreement between New Zealand and Singapore for a Closer 
				Economic Partnership (ANZSCEP), 2005 
				 
				 
				2(2004): Linda Low, 
				
				
				Policy Lessons 
				in Deveopment: Small, Open Economics of Singapore and Abu Dhabi 
				in the United Arab Emirates, 2004 
				 
				 
				1(2004): Denis Hew and Rahul Sen, 
				
				
				Towards an 
				ASEAN Economic Community: Challenges and Prospectds, 2004 
				 
				
				 
				 
				
				 1(2003): Lee Poh Onn,
				The Water 
				Issue Between Singapore and Malaysia: No Solution in Signt? 2003 
				 
				 
				5(2002): Arumugam Rajenthran,
				Malaysia: An 
				Overview of the Legal Framework for Foreign Direct Investment, 
				2002 
				 
				 
				4(2002): Arumugam Rajenthran,
				Indonesia: An 
				Overview of the Legal Framework for Foreign Direct Investment, 
				2002 
				 
				 
				3(2002): Ramkishen S. Rajan and Rahul Sen,
				International 
				Trade in Services in Selected ASEAN Countries: 
				Telecommunications and Finance, 2002 
				 
				 
				2(2002): Ngiam Kee Jin and Lixia Loh,
				Developing a 
				Viable Corporate Bond Market: The Singapore Experience, 2002 
				 
				 
				1 (2002): Tracy Yang,
				Crisis, 
				Contagion, and East Asian Stock Markets, 2002 
				 
				 
				1(2001): Tracy Yang and Reza Siregar,
				An Empirical 
				Examination of the Stock Market Returns in Selected Asia-Pacific 
				Economies in the Pre- and Post-Financial Reform Period, 2001 
				 
				 
				7(2000): Tracy Yang and Paul Vandenberg,
				Selected East 
				Asian Stock Markets in the Context of Financial Liberalisation: 
				Prior to the Crisis, 2000 
				 
				 
				6(2000): Ramkishen S. Rajan and Tracy Yang,
				Devaluation 
				of the Baht and Economic Contraction in Thailand, 2000 
				 
				 
				5(2000): Sakulrat Montreevat,
				Impact of 
				Foreign Entry on the Thai Banking Sector: Initial Stage of Bank 
				Restructuring, 2000 
				 
				 
				4(2000): Nick J. Freeman,
				A Regional 
				Platform for Trading Southeast Asian Equities: Viable Option for 
				Lofty 'Red Herring'? 2000 
				 
				 
				3(2000): Nick J. Freeman and Frank L. Bartels,
				Portfolio 
				Investment in Southeast Asia's Stock Markets: A Survey of 
				Institutional Investors' Current Perceptions and Practices, 2000 
				 
				 
				2(2000): Nick J. Freeman,
				Foreign 
				Portfolio Investors' Approaches to Thailand's Equity Market: 
				Survey Findings and Preliminary Analysis, 2000 
				 
				 
				1(2000): Nick J. Freeman,
				Constraints 
				on Thailand's Equity Market as an Allocator of Foreign 
				Investment Capital: Some Implications for Post-Crisis Southeast 
				Asia, 2000 
				 
				 
				9(1999): Frank L. Bartels and Nick J. Freeman, Multinational Firms 
				and FDI in Southeast Asia: Post-Crisis Perception Changes in the 
				Retail-Oriented Manufacturing Sector, December 1999.  
				 
				 
				8(1999): Kim Ong-Giger, Japanese IT Development: Implications for 
				FDI in Southeast Asia, September 1999 
				 
				 
				7(1999): Carolyn L. Gates, ASEAN’s Foreign Economic Relations: An 
				Evolutionary and Neo-Institutional Analysis, May 1999 
				 
				 
				6(1999): Kim Ong-Giger, Southeast Asian Economies in Crisis: The 
				Emergence of Pax Capitalia, April 1999 
				 
				 
				5(1999): Tin Maung Maung Than, The Political Economy of Burma’s 
				(Myanmar’s) Development Failure 1948-1988, March 1999 
				 
				 
				4(1999): Carolyn L. Gates, The East Asian Crisis and Global 
				Integration: Mismanagement and Panic Revisited or a New Beast?, 
				March 1999 
				 
				 
				3(1999): George Abonyi, Thailand: From Financial Crisis to 
				Economic Renewal, March 1999 
				 
				 
				2(1999): Anita G. Doraisami, The Malaysian Currency Crisis: 
				Causes, Policy Response and Future Implications, February 1999 
				 
				 
				1(1999): Myat Thein, Improving Resource Mobilization in Myanmar, 
				January 1999 
				 
				 
				5(1996): Mya Than, The Golden Quadrangle of Mainland Southeast 
				Asia: A Myanmar Perspective, July 1996 
				 
				 
				4(1996): Carolyn L. Gates, Enterprise Adjustment and Economic 
				Transformation: Industrial Enterprise Behaviour and Performance 
				in Vietnam during Stabilization and Liberalization, June 1996 
				 
				 
				3(1996): Helen Hughes, Perspectives for an Integrating World 
				Economy: Implications for Reform and Development, May 1996 
				 
				 
				2(1996): Reza Y. Siregar, Inflows of Portfolio Investment to 
				Indonesia: Anticipating the Challenges Facing the Management of 
				Macroeconomy, March 1996 
				 
				 
				1(1996): Nick J. Freeman, Portfolio Investment in Vietnam: Coping 
				Without a Bourse, February 1996  |